Recent progress toward a potential US-Iran memorandum of understanding to end the 2026 conflict, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and address nuclear and sanctions issues has shaped expectations for the next diplomatic meeting. Pakistan-mediated talks since the April ceasefire, following earlier Oman and Geneva rounds, reached a reported final text by mid-June 2026, with possible signing in Geneva or remotely in the coming days. US participants have included Vice President JD Vance alongside envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, while Iranian delegations have featured Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf. Remaining uncertainties around approvals, exact venue, and implementation timelines continue to influence assessments of likely attendees.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$1,372,368 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Donald Trump
5%
Marco Rubio
11%
J.D. Vance
28%
Jared Kushner
52%
Steve Witkoff
48%
$1,372,368 Vol.
Donald Trump
$265,637 Vol.
5%
Marco Rubio
$111,331 Vol.
11%
J.D. Vance
$714,896 Vol.
28%
Jared Kushner
$154,545 Vol.
52%
Steve Witkoff
$125,960 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent progress toward a potential US-Iran memorandum of understanding to end the 2026 conflict, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and address nuclear and sanctions issues has shaped expectations for the next diplomatic meeting. Pakistan-mediated talks since the April ceasefire, following earlier Oman and Geneva rounds, reached a reported final text by mid-June 2026, with possible signing in Geneva or remotely in the coming days. US participants have included Vice President JD Vance alongside envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, while Iranian delegations have featured Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf. Remaining uncertainties around approvals, exact venue, and implementation timelines continue to influence assessments of likely attendees.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 14, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
Volume
$1,372,368End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent progress toward a potential US-Iran memorandum of understanding to end the 2026 conflict, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and address nuclear and sanctions issues has shaped expectations for the next diplomatic meeting. Pakistan-mediated talks since the April ceasefire, following earlier Oman and Geneva rounds, reached a reported final text by mid-June 2026, with possible signing in Geneva or remotely in the coming days. US participants have included Vice President JD Vance alongside envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, while Iranian delegations have featured Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf. Remaining uncertainties around approvals, exact venue, and implementation timelines continue to influence assessments of likely attendees.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$1,372,368End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent progress toward a potential US-Iran memorandum of understanding to end the 2026 conflict, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and address nuclear and sanctions issues has shaped expectations for the next diplomatic meeting. Pakistan-mediated talks since the April ceasefire, following earlier Oman and Geneva rounds, reached a reported final text by mid-June 2026, with possible signing in Geneva or remotely in the coming days. US participants have included Vice President JD Vance alongside envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, while Iranian delegations have featured Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf. Remaining uncertainties around approvals, exact venue, and implementation timelines continue to influence assessments of likely attendees.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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