King Harald V’s death on August 28 at age 89 triggered a 13-day mourning period and state funeral on September 9 at Oslo Cathedral, with burial at Akershus Fortress. Trader sentiment for attendance markets has centered on official confirmations from royal houses and governments, diplomatic protocol, and historical precedent for European monarchs’ funerals. Strong consensus has formed around frontrunners like Prince William (representing King Charles), Ukrainian President Zelenskyy, Nordic and Benelux royals, and Queen Rania of Jordan, driven by verified palace statements and credible reporting on processions and cathedral seating. Key swing factors include last-minute health or scheduling updates for figures like Queen Mette-Marit and the precise definition of “attendance” during the public service versus private interment. Markets resolve quickly once consensus reporting emerges post-ceremony.