**Israeli voters head to the polls on October 27, 2026, for the 26th Knesset in a fragmented race where no bloc is projected to secure the 61 seats needed for a majority.** Recent polling averages place Likud and Yashar (led by Gadi Eisenkot) neck-and-neck as the largest parties at roughly 22–23 seats each, with Netanyahu-aligned parties (including Shas, United Torah Judaism, Otzma Yehudit, and Religious Zionism) totaling around 51–53 seats and the main Zionist opposition (Yashar, Together/B’Yachad under Naftali Bennett, The Democrats under Yair Golan, and Yisrael Beytenu) at 50–54. Arab lists such as the Joint List and Ra’am are projected for 12–13 seats combined. Smaller parties face uncertainty crossing the 3.25% threshold, with Ofer Winter’s Amcha Israel and the Reservists-Economic Party polling near or below it in many surveys. Key drivers include security concerns tied to ongoing conflicts, economic pressures, and coalition math, with surplus-vote agreements and final list reviews shaping outcomes ahead of election night exit polls and official results expected by November 4. Post-election coalition negotiations will determine government formation amid tight bloc balances.
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