Anthropic dominates trader consensus for the best Text Arena Math AI model at end of August because its Claude family, including claude-fable-5 and multiple Opus 4/5 variants, holds the top ranks on the arena.ai Text Arena Math leaderboard. These models excel at competition-style problems through advanced chain-of-thought reasoning and step-by-step explanations, backed by thousands of human preference votes that reflect real-world performance. Recent Claude 4 and 5 releases have widened this edge over OpenAI’s GPT-5 series and Google’s Gemini models on the specific benchmark. With resolution imminent on August 31, the market-implied odds near 100% reflect the stable lead. A surprise high-impact release from a rival could theoretically close the gap, though the short timeframe and current standings make reversal unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAnthropic 100.0%
Google <1%
SpaceXAI <1%
Alibaba <1%
$99,748 Vol.
$99,748 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
Anthropic
Yes
No
SpaceXAI
No
Alibaba
No
OpenAI
No
Baidu
No
Z.ai
No
Xiaomi
No
Moonshot
No
Meta
No
Nvidia
No
DeepSeek
No
MiniMax
No
Meituan
No
Amazon
No
Bytedance
No
Mistral
No
Tencent
No
StepFun
No
Microsoft
No
Anthropic 100.0%
Google <1%
SpaceXAI <1%
Alibaba <1%
$99,748 Vol.
$99,748 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
Anthropic
$35,581 Vol.
Yes
$20,658 Vol.
No
SpaceXAI
$2,690 Vol.
No
Alibaba
$9,950 Vol.
No
OpenAI
$14,356 Vol.
No
Baidu
$4,463 Vol.
No
Z.ai
$3,148 Vol.
No
Xiaomi
$372 Vol.
No
Moonshot
$372 Vol.
No
Meta
$494 Vol.
No
Nvidia
$1,079 Vol.
No
DeepSeek
$2,125 Vol.
No
MiniMax
$1,122 Vol.
No
Meituan
$553 Vol.
No
Amazon
$451 Vol.
No
Bytedance
$495 Vol.
No
Mistral
$372 Vol.
No
Tencent
$564 Vol.
No
StepFun
$531 Vol.
No
Microsoft
$372 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic dominates trader consensus for the best Text Arena Math AI model at end of August because its Claude family, including claude-fable-5 and multiple Opus 4/5 variants, holds the top ranks on the arena.ai Text Arena Math leaderboard. These models excel at competition-style problems through advanced chain-of-thought reasoning and step-by-step explanations, backed by thousands of human preference votes that reflect real-world performance. Recent Claude 4 and 5 releases have widened this edge over OpenAI’s GPT-5 series and Google’s Gemini models on the specific benchmark. With resolution imminent on August 31, the market-implied odds near 100% reflect the stable lead. A surprise high-impact release from a rival could theoretically close the gap, though the short timeframe and current standings make reversal unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Market Opened: Jul 16, 2026, 11:05 PM ET
Volume
$99,748End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 16, 2026, 11:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-controlResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic dominates trader consensus for the best Text Arena Math AI model at end of August because its Claude family, including claude-fable-5 and multiple Opus 4/5 variants, holds the top ranks on the arena.ai Text Arena Math leaderboard. These models excel at competition-style problems through advanced chain-of-thought reasoning and step-by-step explanations, backed by thousands of human preference votes that reflect real-world performance. Recent Claude 4 and 5 releases have widened this edge over OpenAI’s GPT-5 series and Google’s Gemini models on the specific benchmark. With resolution imminent on August 31, the market-implied odds near 100% reflect the stable lead. A surprise high-impact release from a rival could theoretically close the gap, though the short timeframe and current standings make reversal unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$99,748End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 16, 2026, 11:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-controlResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Anthropic dominates trader consensus for the best Text Arena Math AI model at end of August because its Claude family, including claude-fable-5 and multiple Opus 4/5 variants, holds the top ranks on the arena.ai Text Arena Math leaderboard. These models excel at competition-style problems through advanced chain-of-thought reasoning and step-by-step explanations, backed by thousands of human preference votes that reflect real-world performance. Recent Claude 4 and 5 releases have widened this edge over OpenAI’s GPT-5 series and Google’s Gemini models on the specific benchmark. With resolution imminent on August 31, the market-implied odds near 100% reflect the stable lead. A surprise high-impact release from a rival could theoretically close the gap, though the short timeframe and current standings make reversal unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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