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icon for Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?
Tech·AI

Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

icon for Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?
Tech·AI

Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

Jan 1, 2027

Jan 1, 2027

$30,073 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$30,073 Vol.

Polymarket

San Diego, CA

$4,021 Vol.

90%

Denver, CO

$2,183 Vol.

87%

Tampa, FL

$2,717 Vol.

75%

Philadelphia, PA

$28 Vol.

47%

St. Louis, MO

$41 Vol.

47%

Las Vegas, NV

$2,544 Vol.

44%

Charlotte, NC

$438 Vol.

35%

Sacramento, CA

$1,443 Vol.

28%

New Orleans, LA

$620 Vol.

17%

Detroit, MI

$618 Vol.

16%

Washington, DC

$1,337 Vol.

13%

Pittsburgh, PA

$745 Vol.

12%

New York, NY

$1,456 Vol.

12%

Tokyo, Japan

$327 Vol.

12%

Minneapolis, MN

$2,121 Vol.

10%

Chicago, IL

$772 Vol.

27%

Portland, OR

$2,410 Vol.

9%

Baltimore, MD

$1,061 Vol.

8%

London, UK

$748 Vol.

8%

Boston, MA

$3,885 Vol.

7%

Seattle, WA

$557 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Waymo’s aggressive 2026 rollout, capped by simultaneous public robotaxi launches in Denver, San Diego, and Tampa on September 1, has pushed its U.S. footprint to 14 cities and reflects matured mapping, testing, and rider-onboarding processes. Regulatory wins, including California Public Utilities Commission approval for operations across 18 counties, plus a Nevada permit for up to 1,000 vehicles in Las Vegas, support continued scaling with the sixth-generation Waymo Driver and new Zeekr Ojai minivans now serving select markets. Competition from Tesla’s paid driverless rides in Tampa and other overlapping cities, alongside Zoox’s slower paid-service ramp, underscores the race to capture robotaxi share while Waymo targets one million weekly trips by year-end. Remaining catalysts before December 31 include potential additional California deployments and Las Vegas commercialization.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.

A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber).

Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.

The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$30,073
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jun 26, 2026, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Waymo’s aggressive 2026 rollout, capped by simultaneous public robotaxi launches in Denver, San Diego, and Tampa on September 1, has pushed its U.S. footprint to 14 cities and reflects matured mapping, testing, and rider-onboarding processes. Regulatory wins, including California Public Utilities Commission approval for operations across 18 counties, plus a Nevada permit for up to 1,000 vehicles in Las Vegas, support continued scaling with the sixth-generation Waymo Driver and new Zeekr Ojai minivans now serving select markets. Competition from Tesla’s paid driverless rides in Tampa and other overlapping cities, alongside Zoox’s slower paid-service ramp, underscores the race to capture robotaxi share while Waymo targets one million weekly trips by year-end. Remaining catalysts before December 31 include potential additional California deployments and Las Vegas commercialization.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.

A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber).

Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.

The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$30,073
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jun 26, 2026, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 21 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "San Diego, CA" at 90%, followed by "Denver, CO" at 87%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 90¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?" has generated $30.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?," browse the 21 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?" is "San Diego, CA" at 90%, meaning the market assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Denver, CO" at 87%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.