Recent breakthroughs in US-Iran negotiations have shaped trader views on upcoming diplomatic meetings. On June 14-15, 2026, the sides reached a preliminary framework agreement to extend a ceasefire, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and address nuclear issues, with mediators from Pakistan and Qatar playing key roles. Swiss authorities confirmed the formal signing ceremony will occur on June 19 at the Burgenstock resort, a venue proposed by the mediators and accepted by both parties. This follows earlier indirect talks in Oman, Geneva, and Islamabad. Qatar's involvement in preparatory discussions sustains its secondary probability, while the low odds on "no meeting by June 30" reflect the imminent timeline. Historical precedent for neutral venues like Switzerland in sensitive diplomacy further reinforces its position in market pricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhere will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
Switzerland 75.7%
Qatar 20.2%
No Meeting by June 30 3.3%
Other - Europe <1%
$11,780,863 Vol.
$11,780,863 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Switzerland
76%
Qatar
20%
No Meeting by June 30
3%
Other - Europe
<1%
Pakistan
<1%
Oman
<1%
Austria
<1%
Other
<1%
UAE
<1%
Iran
<1%
USA
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Iraq
<1%
Other - Middle East/North Africa
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Kazakhstan
<1%
Russia
<1%
Turkey
<1%
Italy
<1%
Switzerland 75.7%
Qatar 20.2%
No Meeting by June 30 3.3%
Other - Europe <1%
$11,780,863 Vol.
$11,780,863 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Switzerland
$1,154,516 Vol.
76%
Qatar
$950,953 Vol.
20%
No Meeting by June 30
$1,709,647 Vol.
3%
Other - Europe
$636,923 Vol.
<1%
Pakistan
$1,497,783 Vol.
<1%
Oman
$593,112 Vol.
<1%
Austria
$431,169 Vol.
<1%
Other
$442,724 Vol.
<1%
UAE
$228,461 Vol.
<1%
Iran
$909,489 Vol.
<1%
USA
$405,108 Vol.
<1%
Egypt
$356,836 Vol.
<1%
Iraq
$812,217 Vol.
<1%
Other - Middle East/North Africa
$303,395 Vol.
<1%
Saudi Arabia
$300,583 Vol.
<1%
Kazakhstan
$115,685 Vol.
<1%
Russia
$267,028 Vol.
<1%
Turkey
$453,342 Vol.
<1%
Italy
$212,428 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the country in which the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.
For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent breakthroughs in US-Iran negotiations have shaped trader views on upcoming diplomatic meetings. On June 14-15, 2026, the sides reached a preliminary framework agreement to extend a ceasefire, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and address nuclear issues, with mediators from Pakistan and Qatar playing key roles. Swiss authorities confirmed the formal signing ceremony will occur on June 19 at the Burgenstock resort, a venue proposed by the mediators and accepted by both parties. This follows earlier indirect talks in Oman, Geneva, and Islamabad. Qatar's involvement in preparatory discussions sustains its secondary probability, while the low odds on "no meeting by June 30" reflect the imminent timeline. Historical precedent for neutral venues like Switzerland in sensitive diplomacy further reinforces its position in market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the country in which the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.
For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.
For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Apr 12, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
Volume
$11,780,863End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 12, 2026, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the country in which the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.
For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent breakthroughs in US-Iran negotiations have shaped trader views on upcoming diplomatic meetings. On June 14-15, 2026, the sides reached a preliminary framework agreement to extend a ceasefire, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and address nuclear issues, with mediators from Pakistan and Qatar playing key roles. Swiss authorities confirmed the formal signing ceremony will occur on June 19 at the Burgenstock resort, a venue proposed by the mediators and accepted by both parties. This follows earlier indirect talks in Oman, Geneva, and Islamabad. Qatar's involvement in preparatory discussions sustains its secondary probability, while the low odds on "no meeting by June 30" reflect the imminent timeline. Historical precedent for neutral venues like Switzerland in sensitive diplomacy further reinforces its position in market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the country in which the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.
For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.
For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$11,780,863End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 12, 2026, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent breakthroughs in US-Iran negotiations have shaped trader views on upcoming diplomatic meetings. On June 14-15, 2026, the sides reached a preliminary framework agreement to extend a ceasefire, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and address nuclear issues, with mediators from Pakistan and Qatar playing key roles. Swiss authorities confirmed the formal signing ceremony will occur on June 19 at the Burgenstock resort, a venue proposed by the mediators and accepted by both parties. This follows earlier indirect talks in Oman, Geneva, and Islamabad. Qatar's involvement in preparatory discussions sustains its secondary probability, while the low odds on "no meeting by June 30" reflect the imminent timeline. Historical precedent for neutral venues like Switzerland in sensitive diplomacy further reinforces its position in market pricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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