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What will Trump say during the Speech to the Nation?

icon for What will Trump say during the Speech to the Nation?

What will Trump say during the Speech to the Nation?

$268,873 Vol.

Jul 16, 2026
Polymarket

$268,873 Vol.

Polymarket

Million / Billion / Trillion 20+ times

$7,534 Vol.

No

Iran / Iranian 20+ times

$13,575 Vol.

No

Nuclear 15+ times

$7,518 Vol.

No

Biden 5+ times

$11,497 Vol.

No

Interfere / Interference

$12,565 Vol.

Yes

Fraud / Fraudulent

$22,875 Vol.

Yes

AI / Artificial Intelligence

$10,618 Vol.

No

Venezuela

$13,785 Vol.

Yes

Middle East

$4,975 Vol.

No

Communist

$8,710 Vol.

Yes

Fake News

$12,174 Vol.

Yes

Transgender

$24,669 Vol.

Yes

Hottest

$7,573 Vol.

Yes

Make America Great Again

$5,006 Vol.

No

Annihilated / Annihilating

$3,532 Vol.

No

World Cup

$6,872 Vol.

No

Israel / Israeli

$9,410 Vol.

No

Russia

$11,354 Vol.

Yes

Six Seven

$6,423 Vol.

No

Iraq

$2,026 Vol.

No

Maduro

$16,618 Vol.

Yes

Crooked

$5,757 Vol.

No

Fentanyl

$5,562 Vol.

No

Ukraine

$4,856 Vol.

No

China

$23,110 Vol.

Yes

-No Qualifying Event-

$10,279 Vol.

No

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a Speech to the Nation on July 16, 2026 at 9 PM ET (https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116914147668764804). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his Speech to the Nation on July 16, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about the "Speech to the Nation" scheduled for 9 PM ET. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other markets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdfPresident Trump, in his second term, periodically delivers national addresses on major policy priorities such as immigration enforcement, economic measures, or foreign policy developments. Trader expectations center on whether the speech will address specific legislative outcomes, executive actions, or responses to recent congressional votes and agency announcements. Without a confirmed date or detailed preview from the White House, positioning reflects baseline assumptions about recurring themes from the administration's agenda. Scheduled events like upcoming budget deadlines or diplomatic summits could shape content if they fall within the resolution window. The market awaits clearer signals on timing and focus before probabilities shift significantly.

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a Speech to the Nation on July 16, 2026 at 9 PM ET (https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116914147668764804).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his Speech to the Nation on July 16, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

This market is explicitly about the "Speech to the Nation" scheduled for 9 PM ET. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other markets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events.

For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Volume
$268,873
End Date
Jul 17, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 13, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a Speech to the Nation on July 16, 2026 at 9 PM ET (https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116914147668764804). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his Speech to the Nation on July 16, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about the "Speech to the Nation" scheduled for 9 PM ET. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other markets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a Speech to the Nation on July 16, 2026 at 9 PM ET (https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116914147668764804). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his Speech to the Nation on July 16, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about the "Speech to the Nation" scheduled for 9 PM ET. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other markets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdfPresident Trump, in his second term, periodically delivers national addresses on major policy priorities such as immigration enforcement, economic measures, or foreign policy developments. Trader expectations center on whether the speech will address specific legislative outcomes, executive actions, or responses to recent congressional votes and agency announcements. Without a confirmed date or detailed preview from the White House, positioning reflects baseline assumptions about recurring themes from the administration's agenda. Scheduled events like upcoming budget deadlines or diplomatic summits could shape content if they fall within the resolution window. The market awaits clearer signals on timing and focus before probabilities shift significantly.

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a Speech to the Nation on July 16, 2026 at 9 PM ET (https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116914147668764804).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his Speech to the Nation on July 16, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

This market is explicitly about the "Speech to the Nation" scheduled for 9 PM ET. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other markets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events.

For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Volume
$268,873
End Date
Jul 17, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 13, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a Speech to the Nation on July 16, 2026 at 9 PM ET (https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116914147668764804). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his Speech to the Nation on July 16, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about the "Speech to the Nation" scheduled for 9 PM ET. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other markets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Trump say during the Speech to the Nation?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 26 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Interfere / Interference" at 100%, followed by "Fraud / Fraudulent" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will Trump say during the Speech to the Nation?" has generated $268.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will Trump say during the Speech to the Nation?," browse the 26 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Trump say during the Speech to the Nation?" is "Interfere / Interference" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Fraud / Fraudulent" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Trump say during the Speech to the Nation?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.