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Elections

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Expires Dec 6, 2022

What will the Margin of Victory be in the Georgia runoff?

What will the Margin of Victory be in the Georgia runoff?

About

In the 2022 midterm election for United States Senator from Georgia, no candidate received a majority of votes. This has triggered a run-off election between the two candidates who received the greatest number of votes: Raphael Warnock (Democrat) and Herschel Walker (Republican).

The runoff election for US Senator from Georgia is scheduled for December 6, 2022.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the margin of victory in the runoff election for US Senator from Georgia is 2.5% or greater. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of resolving this market, the margin of victory is the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by each candidate in the election. Percentages of the votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each candidate receives by the sum of all votes received by both candidates.

For example, if Candidate A receives 53% of the votes, and Candidate B receives 47% of the votes, the difference will be found by subtracting 47 from 53, thus the margin of victory in this case would equal 6 (|Candidate A% - Candidate B%| = Margin of Victory).

Determination of the margin of victory in the Georgia Senate runoff election will be based on official election results (e.g. https://sos.ga.gov/).
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Elections

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$0 Liq.

Expires Dec 6, 2022

What will the Margin of Victory be in the Georgia runoff?

What will the Margin of Victory be in the Georgia runoff?

2.5%+

$195k Vol.

$146 Liq.

Result is Yes

5.0%+

$62k Vol.

$111 Liq.

Result is No

About

In the 2022 midterm election for United States Senator from Georgia, no candidate received a majority of votes. This has triggered a run-off election between the two candidates who received the greatest number of votes: Raphael Warnock (Democrat) and Herschel Walker (Republican).

The runoff election for US Senator from Georgia is scheduled for December 6, 2022.

Volume

$0

Liquidity

$0

End Date

Dec 6, 2022

Outcome: Yes

2.5%+