Kevin Warsh, President Trump's nominee for Federal Reserve chair, testified before the Senate Banking Committee on April 21 during his confirmation hearing, repeatedly affirming the central bank's strict monetary policy independence and denying any pre-commitment to interest rate cuts despite White House pressures. He rejected Democratic accusations of being a "sock puppet" for Trump, emphasized reacting nimbly to economic data, and committed to robust Fed reforms while agreeing to divest conflicting assets amid scrutiny over his $100 million-plus financial disclosures. The hearing highlighted tensions over Fed autonomy amid a DOJ probe into outgoing Chair Powell, with a GOP senator's hold potentially delaying committee markup and full Senate vote. Traders should review official transcripts for precise phrasing on key issues like rates and independence to assess market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhat will Kevin Warsh say during Senate Nomination Hearing?
What will Kevin Warsh say during Senate Nomination Hearing?
$15,494 Vol.
Apr 21, 2026
Inflation 10+ times
Yes
Fed 10+ times
Yes
Trump 5+ times
No
Interest Rate
Yes
Independence
Yes
Labor
Yes
Price Stability
Yes
Monetary Policy
Yes
Quantitative
Yes
Trump
Yes
Recession
No
Global
Yes
Productivity
Yes
Supply Chain
No
World Bank
No
IMF
No
God
No
Constitution
Yes
-No Qualifying Event-
No
$15,494 Vol.
Inflation 10+ times
$637 Vol.
Yes
Fed 10+ times
$2,087 Vol.
Yes
Trump 5+ times
$581 Vol.
No
Interest Rate
$1,063 Vol.
Yes
Independence
$688 Vol.
Yes
Labor
$155 Vol.
Yes
Price Stability
$638 Vol.
Yes
Monetary Policy
$653 Vol.
Yes
Quantitative
$1,218 Vol.
Yes
Trump
$1,524 Vol.
Yes
Recession
$1,351 Vol.
No
Global
$1,120 Vol.
Yes
Productivity
$143 Vol.
Yes
Supply Chain
$187 Vol.
No
World Bank
$285 Vol.
No
IMF
$285 Vol.
No
God
$1,183 Vol.
No
Constitution
$711 Vol.
Yes
-No Qualifying Event-
$983 Vol.
No
Kevin Warsh is scheduled to participate in his Senate Nomination Hearing on April 21, 2026 at 10AM ET (https://www.banking.senate.gov/hearings/04/14/2026/nomination-hearing).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kevin Warsh says the listed term during the Nomination Hearing scheduled for April 21, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market is explicitly about the Senate Nomination Hearing for Kevin Warsh scheduled for April 21, 2026, 10AM ET (https://www.banking.senate.gov/hearings/04/14/2026/nomination-hearing). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.Kevin Warsh, President Trump's nominee for Federal Reserve chair, testified before the Senate Banking Committee on April 21 during his confirmation hearing, repeatedly affirming the central bank's strict monetary policy independence and denying any pre-commitment to interest rate cuts despite White House pressures. He rejected Democratic accusations of being a "sock puppet" for Trump, emphasized reacting nimbly to economic data, and committed to robust Fed reforms while agreeing to divest conflicting assets amid scrutiny over his $100 million-plus financial disclosures. The hearing highlighted tensions over Fed autonomy amid a DOJ probe into outgoing Chair Powell, with a GOP senator's hold potentially delaying committee markup and full Senate vote. Traders should review official transcripts for precise phrasing on key issues like rates and independence to assess market resolution.
Kevin Warsh is scheduled to participate in his Senate Nomination Hearing on April 21, 2026 at 10AM ET (https://www.banking.senate.gov/hearings/04/14/2026/nomination-hearing).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kevin Warsh says the listed term during the Nomination Hearing scheduled for April 21, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market is explicitly about the Senate Nomination Hearing for Kevin Warsh scheduled for April 21, 2026, 10AM ET (https://www.banking.senate.gov/hearings/04/14/2026/nomination-hearing). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kevin Warsh says the listed term during the Nomination Hearing scheduled for April 21, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market is explicitly about the Senate Nomination Hearing for Kevin Warsh scheduled for April 21, 2026, 10AM ET (https://www.banking.senate.gov/hearings/04/14/2026/nomination-hearing). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 20, 2026, 2:30 PM ET
Volume
$15,494End Date
Apr 21, 2026Market Opened
Apr 20, 2026, 2:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Kevin Warsh is scheduled to participate in his Senate Nomination Hearing on April 21, 2026 at 10AM ET (https://www.banking.senate.gov/hearings/04/14/2026/nomination-hearing).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kevin Warsh says the listed term during the Nomination Hearing scheduled for April 21, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market is explicitly about the Senate Nomination Hearing for Kevin Warsh scheduled for April 21, 2026, 10AM ET (https://www.banking.senate.gov/hearings/04/14/2026/nomination-hearing). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.Kevin Warsh, President Trump's nominee for Federal Reserve chair, testified before the Senate Banking Committee on April 21 during his confirmation hearing, repeatedly affirming the central bank's strict monetary policy independence and denying any pre-commitment to interest rate cuts despite White House pressures. He rejected Democratic accusations of being a "sock puppet" for Trump, emphasized reacting nimbly to economic data, and committed to robust Fed reforms while agreeing to divest conflicting assets amid scrutiny over his $100 million-plus financial disclosures. The hearing highlighted tensions over Fed autonomy amid a DOJ probe into outgoing Chair Powell, with a GOP senator's hold potentially delaying committee markup and full Senate vote. Traders should review official transcripts for precise phrasing on key issues like rates and independence to assess market resolution.
Kevin Warsh is scheduled to participate in his Senate Nomination Hearing on April 21, 2026 at 10AM ET (https://www.banking.senate.gov/hearings/04/14/2026/nomination-hearing).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kevin Warsh says the listed term during the Nomination Hearing scheduled for April 21, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market is explicitly about the Senate Nomination Hearing for Kevin Warsh scheduled for April 21, 2026, 10AM ET (https://www.banking.senate.gov/hearings/04/14/2026/nomination-hearing). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kevin Warsh says the listed term during the Nomination Hearing scheduled for April 21, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market is explicitly about the Senate Nomination Hearing for Kevin Warsh scheduled for April 21, 2026, 10AM ET (https://www.banking.senate.gov/hearings/04/14/2026/nomination-hearing). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Volume
$15,494End Date
Apr 21, 2026Market Opened
Apr 20, 2026, 2:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Kevin Warsh, President Trump's nominee for Federal Reserve chair, testified before the Senate Banking Committee on April 21 during his confirmation hearing, repeatedly affirming the central bank's strict monetary policy independence and denying any pre-commitment to interest rate cuts despite White House pressures. He rejected Democratic accusations of being a "sock puppet" for Trump, emphasized reacting nimbly to economic data, and committed to robust Fed reforms while agreeing to divest conflicting assets amid scrutiny over his $100 million-plus financial disclosures. The hearing highlighted tensions over Fed autonomy amid a DOJ probe into outgoing Chair Powell, with a GOP senator's hold potentially delaying committee markup and full Senate vote. Traders should review official transcripts for precise phrasing on key issues like rates and independence to assess market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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