icon for What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

icon for What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Ended: Apr 14

May 19

Ended: Apr 14

May 19

Thrash 100.0%

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle <1%

Beast <1%

The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson <1%

$110,929 Vol.

$110,929 Vol.

Apr 14, 2026

icon for Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle

$29,615 Vol.

No

Beast

$2,508 Vol.

No

icon for The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson

The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson

$1,987 Vol.

No

icon for Anaconda

Anaconda

$4,432 Vol.

No

icon for Madagascar

Madagascar

$2,631 Vol.

No

icon for Untold: The Death & Life of Lamar Odom

Untold: The Death & Life of Lamar Odom

$381 Vol.

No

icon for Black and Blue

Black and Blue

$1,218 Vol.

No

IF

$1,799 Vol.

No

icon for Thrash

Thrash

$66,359 Vol.

Yes

Thrash 100.0%

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle <1%

Beast <1%

The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson <1%

$110,929 Vol.

$110,929 Vol.

Apr 14, 2026

icon for Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle

$29,615 Vol.

No

Beast

$2,508 Vol.

No

icon for The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson

The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson

$1,987 Vol.

No

icon for Anaconda

Anaconda

$4,432 Vol.

No

icon for Madagascar

Madagascar

$2,631 Vol.

No

icon for Untold: The Death & Life of Lamar Odom

Untold: The Death & Life of Lamar Odom

$381 Vol.

No

icon for Black and Blue

Black and Blue

$1,218 Vol.

No

IF

$1,799 Vol.

No

icon for Thrash

Thrash

$66,359 Vol.

Yes

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Related

icon for New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?

New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?

icon for Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

icon for Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Beware of external links.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Thrash" at 100%, followed by "Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" has generated $110.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" is "Thrash" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $110.9K traded on “What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 100¢ for "Thrash" in the "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 100% chance that "Thrash" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 100¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 0¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" market has been resolved. The final result has been determined and the market is no longer open for trading. You can still review the historical odds, outcome probabilities, and comments on this page to see how predictions evolved over time.

The "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" market has an active community of 148 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.