Skip to main content
icon for What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

icon for What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Shipwrecked: Nightmare at Sea 100.0%

White Chicks <1%

Voicemails for Isabelle <1%

The Doorman <1%

Polymarket

$26,662 Vol.

Shipwrecked: Nightmare at Sea 100.0%

White Chicks <1%

Voicemails for Isabelle <1%

The Doorman <1%

Polymarket

$26,662 Vol.

icon for White Chicks

White Chicks

$1,018 Vol.

No

icon for Voicemails for Isabelle

Voicemails for Isabelle

$555 Vol.

No

icon for The Doorman

The Doorman

$461 Vol.

No

icon for KPop Demon Hunters

KPop Demon Hunters

$577 Vol.

No

icon for Shipwrecked: Nightmare at Sea

Shipwrecked: Nightmare at Sea

$21,014 Vol.

Yes

icon for Enola Holmes 3

Enola Holmes 3

$885 Vol.

No

icon for The Hunger Games

The Hunger Games

$712 Vol.

No

icon for The Hunger Games: Catching Fire

The Hunger Games: Catching Fire

$404 Vol.

No

icon for Heartstopper Forever

Heartstopper Forever

$493 Vol.

No

icon for Old Henry

Old Henry

$542 Vol.

No

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".With multiple titles clustered near 50% implied probability, trader sentiment reflects intense competition for the top U.S. Netflix movie spot this week, as no single release has established clear momentum. Newer entries like Enola Holmes 3 and Voicemails for Isabelle compete against catalog holdovers such as The Hunger Games films and White Chicks, where differences in recent streaming velocity, genre appeal, and promotional pushes create uncertainty. Historical patterns show viewership can shift quickly based on algorithmic promotion and social buzz. Upcoming weekly ranking updates will likely serve as the key catalyst resolving the deadlock.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$26,662
End Date
Jul 21, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 15, 2026, 8:48 PM ET
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".With multiple titles clustered near 50% implied probability, trader sentiment reflects intense competition for the top U.S. Netflix movie spot this week, as no single release has established clear momentum. Newer entries like Enola Holmes 3 and Voicemails for Isabelle compete against catalog holdovers such as The Hunger Games films and White Chicks, where differences in recent streaming velocity, genre appeal, and promotional pushes create uncertainty. Historical patterns show viewership can shift quickly based on algorithmic promotion and social buzz. Upcoming weekly ranking updates will likely serve as the key catalyst resolving the deadlock.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$26,662
End Date
Jul 21, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 15, 2026, 8:48 PM ET
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Shipwrecked: Nightmare at Sea" at 100%, followed by "White Chicks" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" has generated $26.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 15, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" is "Shipwrecked: Nightmare at Sea" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "White Chicks" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.