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What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

icon for What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Voicemails for Isabelle 1.1%

Enola Holmes 3 <1%

Little Brother <1%

Hamnet <1%

Polymarket

$12,454 Vol.

Voicemails for Isabelle 1.1%

Enola Holmes 3 <1%

Little Brother <1%

Hamnet <1%

Polymarket

$12,454 Vol.

icon for Enola Holmes 3

Enola Holmes 3

$9,647 Vol.

No

icon for Little Brother

Little Brother

$468 Vol.

No

icon for Hamnet

Hamnet

$325 Vol.

No

icon for Voicemails for Isabelle

Voicemails for Isabelle

$204 Vol.

No

icon for Spider-Man: Homecoming

Spider-Man: Homecoming

$701 Vol.

No

icon for KPop Demon Hunters

KPop Demon Hunters

$244 Vol.

No

icon for Gone Girl

Gone Girl

$185 Vol.

No

icon for Retribution

Retribution

$208 Vol.

No

icon for Swapped

Swapped

$143 Vol.

No

icon for Maternal Instinct

Maternal Instinct

$328 Vol.

No

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".With market-implied odds clustered tightly around 50% across a wide field including Enola Holmes 3, KPop Demon Hunters, Little Brother, and catalog titles like Spider-Man: Homecoming and Gone Girl, trader consensus highlights a highly fragmented contest for the top US Netflix movie this week. No single release has pulled ahead because weekly viewership rankings depend on volatile factors such as algorithmic promotion, social media engagement, and retention rates among new originals versus proven performers. Upcoming chart updates and any late surges in streaming metrics remain the primary swing catalysts in a landscape where small shifts in audience behavior can quickly reorder the leaderboard.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$12,454
End Date
Jul 14, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 7, 2026, 8:51 PM ET
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".With market-implied odds clustered tightly around 50% across a wide field including Enola Holmes 3, KPop Demon Hunters, Little Brother, and catalog titles like Spider-Man: Homecoming and Gone Girl, trader consensus highlights a highly fragmented contest for the top US Netflix movie this week. No single release has pulled ahead because weekly viewership rankings depend on volatile factors such as algorithmic promotion, social media engagement, and retention rates among new originals versus proven performers. Upcoming chart updates and any late surges in streaming metrics remain the primary swing catalysts in a landscape where small shifts in audience behavior can quickly reorder the leaderboard.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$12,454
End Date
Jul 14, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 7, 2026, 8:51 PM ET
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Enola Holmes 3" at 0%, followed by "Little Brother" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" has generated $12.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 7, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" is "Enola Holmes 3" at just 0%, with "Little Brother" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.