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icon for What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

icon for What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

Ended: Apr 14

May 26

Ended: Apr 14

May 26

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle 100.0%

Beast <1%

The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson <1%

Anaconda <1%

Polymarket

$13,456 Vol.

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle 100.0%

Beast <1%

The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson <1%

Anaconda <1%

Polymarket

$13,456 Vol.

icon for Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle

$6,691 Vol.

Yes

icon for Beast

Beast

$591 Vol.

No

icon for The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson

The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson

$504 Vol.

No

icon for Anaconda

Anaconda

$256 Vol.

No

icon for Madagascar

Madagascar

$123 Vol.

No

icon for Untold: The Death & Life of Lamar Odom

Untold: The Death & Life of Lamar Odom

$276 Vol.

No

icon for Black and Blue

Black and Blue

$72 Vol.

No

icon for IF

IF

$2,137 Vol.

No

icon for Thrash

Thrash

$2,806 Vol.

No

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader consensus has locked in Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle at 100% implied probability for #2 on US Netflix's weekly movies chart, propelled by its firm hold on daily rankings via FlixPatrol data as of April 14. The 2017 Dwayne Johnson-led family action comedy, recently added to the catalog, surged to #1 last week before yielding the top spot to new original Thrash's explosive three-day debut, while comfortably outpacing Beast at #3, IF at #4, and catalog holdovers like Anaconda. Strong streaming metrics and enduring appeal among family audiences underpin this positioning amid stable chart trajectories. Realistic upsets would require an unprecedented late-week surge from challengers like Idris Elba's Beast or a viral docuseries, but with the weekly period nearing close, traders see negligible risk.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 Netflix movie in the United States.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$13,456
End Date
Apr 14, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 9, 2026, 4:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader consensus has locked in Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle at 100% implied probability for #2 on US Netflix's weekly movies chart, propelled by its firm hold on daily rankings via FlixPatrol data as of April 14. The 2017 Dwayne Johnson-led family action comedy, recently added to the catalog, surged to #1 last week before yielding the top spot to new original Thrash's explosive three-day debut, while comfortably outpacing Beast at #3, IF at #4, and catalog holdovers like Anaconda. Strong streaming metrics and enduring appeal among family audiences underpin this positioning amid stable chart trajectories. Realistic upsets would require an unprecedented late-week surge from challengers like Idris Elba's Beast or a viral docuseries, but with the weekly period nearing close, traders see negligible risk.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 Netflix movie in the United States.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$13,456
End Date
Apr 14, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 9, 2026, 4:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle" at 100%, followed by "Beast" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" has generated $13.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" is "Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Beast" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.