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What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

icon for What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

Office Romance 100.0%

Ladies First <1%

The Murder of Rachel Nickell <1%

Poor Things <1%

Polymarket

$12,179 Vol.

Office Romance 100.0%

Ladies First <1%

The Murder of Rachel Nickell <1%

Poor Things <1%

Polymarket

$12,179 Vol.

icon for Ladies First

Ladies First

$715 Vol.

No

icon for The Murder of Rachel Nickell

The Murder of Rachel Nickell

$1,088 Vol.

No

icon for Poor Things

Poor Things

$699 Vol.

No

icon for Song Sung Blue

Song Sung Blue

$684 Vol.

No

icon for Piece by Piece

Piece by Piece

$496 Vol.

No

icon for The Crash

The Crash

$579 Vol.

No

icon for Office Romance

Office Romance

$5,428 Vol.

Yes

icon for David

David

$759 Vol.

No

icon for Ticket To Paradise (2022)

Ticket To Paradise (2022)

$556 Vol.

No

icon for GOAT

GOAT

$500 Vol.

No

icon for Creed III

Creed III

$674 Vol.

No

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, June 16, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Office Romance commands a 100% implied probability as the #2 US Netflix movie this week, reflecting traders' consensus around its sustained viewership leadership and strong audience retention in recent daily rankings. This frontrunner status aligns with typical patterns where a title maintains momentum through consistent streaming hours and algorithmic promotion on the platform. The 50% odds on challengers like Movie A, B, D, F, and G signal ongoing uncertainty in a competitive field. An upset remains possible if late-week data shows a sharp surge from a rival release, a holiday-driven viewing spike, or any adjustment in Netflix's official top 10 methodology.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, June 16, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$12,179
End Date
Jun 16, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 2:12 PM ET
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, June 16, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, June 16, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Office Romance commands a 100% implied probability as the #2 US Netflix movie this week, reflecting traders' consensus around its sustained viewership leadership and strong audience retention in recent daily rankings. This frontrunner status aligns with typical patterns where a title maintains momentum through consistent streaming hours and algorithmic promotion on the platform. The 50% odds on challengers like Movie A, B, D, F, and G signal ongoing uncertainty in a competitive field. An upset remains possible if late-week data shows a sharp surge from a rival release, a holiday-driven viewing spike, or any adjustment in Netflix's official top 10 methodology.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, June 16, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$12,179
End Date
Jun 16, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 2:12 PM ET
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, June 16, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Office Romance" at 100%, followed by "Ladies First" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" has generated $12.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" is "Office Romance" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ladies First" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.