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icon for What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

icon for What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

Ended: Jul 21

Aug 18

Ended: Jul 21

Aug 18

I Will Find You: Limited Series 100.0%

Little House on the Prairie: Season 1 <1%

Worst Neighbor Ever: Season 1 <1%

Quarterback: Season 3 <1%

Polymarket

$12,003 Vol.

I Will Find You: Limited Series 100.0%

Little House on the Prairie: Season 1 <1%

Worst Neighbor Ever: Season 1 <1%

Quarterback: Season 3 <1%

Polymarket

$12,003 Vol.

icon for Little House on the Prairie: Season 1

Little House on the Prairie: Season 1

$1,105 Vol.

No

icon for I Will Find You: Limited Series

I Will Find You: Limited Series

$8,576 Vol.

Yes

icon for Worst Neighbor Ever: Season 1

Worst Neighbor Ever: Season 1

$275 Vol.

No

icon for Quarterback: Season 3

Quarterback: Season 3

$274 Vol.

No

icon for The Ultimatum: Marry or Move On: Season 4

The Ultimatum: Marry or Move On: Season 4

$246 Vol.

No

icon for Dark Winds: Season 4

Dark Winds: Season 4

$276 Vol.

No

icon for Avatar: The Last Airbender: Season 2

Avatar: The Last Airbender: Season 2

$265 Vol.

No

icon for Sullivan's Crossing: Season 4

Sullivan's Crossing: Season 4

$275 Vol.

No

icon for Salish & Jordan Matter: Season 2

Salish & Jordan Matter: Season 2

$365 Vol.

No

icon for The Hawk: Season 1

The Hawk: Season 1

$346 Vol.

No

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix show. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Multiple Netflix titles are trading at closely matched implied probabilities of 43-50% for the number two global show this week, signaling intense competition and no dominant frontrunner in trader sentiment. New seasons from returning series such as Avatar: The Last Airbender Season 2 and Dark Winds Season 4 vie with limited entries like I Will Find You alongside reality staples including The Ultimatum: Marry or Move On Season 4 and Quarterback Season 3. Key differentiators include streaming velocity, genre-specific audience retention, and weekly ranking volatility, with historical patterns showing late surges possible before charts lock. This tight market underscores how small shifts in viewership data can quickly alter consensus ahead of the next update.

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix show.

The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only).

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$12,003
End Date
Jul 21, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 15, 2026, 9:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix show. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix show. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Multiple Netflix titles are trading at closely matched implied probabilities of 43-50% for the number two global show this week, signaling intense competition and no dominant frontrunner in trader sentiment. New seasons from returning series such as Avatar: The Last Airbender Season 2 and Dark Winds Season 4 vie with limited entries like I Will Find You alongside reality staples including The Ultimatum: Marry or Move On Season 4 and Quarterback Season 3. Key differentiators include streaming velocity, genre-specific audience retention, and weekly ranking volatility, with historical patterns showing late surges possible before charts lock. This tight market underscores how small shifts in viewership data can quickly alter consensus ahead of the next update.

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix show.

The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only).

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$12,003
End Date
Jul 21, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 15, 2026, 9:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix show. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "I Will Find You: Limited Series" at 100%, followed by "Little House on the Prairie: Season 1" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week?" has generated $12K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 15, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week?" is "I Will Find You: Limited Series" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Little House on the Prairie: Season 1" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.