The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create unbiased forecasts and "fact checks" for the most important events shaping public discourse. The accuracy of our markets is particularly invaluable in today's age of biased pundits, social media disinformation, and AI. We offer these breaking news markets as a public service to distill fact from fiction — we charge no fees & make no money on this market.

Market icon

What was Ilhan Omar sprayed with?

$447,827 Vol.

Feb 28, 2026
Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any official authority publicly confirms that the liquid sprayed on Ilhan Omar at the January 27, 2026 Minneapolis town hall contained a poison or toxin, or otherwise posed a meaningful toxicological health risk. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no broad consensus from credible reporting and authoritative statements has been reached by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”

If the substance is confirmed to be a mixture, this market will resolve to “Yes” if any component is officially identified as a poison or toxin or is stated by authorities to pose a toxicological health risk.

Descriptions of the substance as “unknown,” “unidentified,” “foul-smelling,” “irritating,” or precautionary testing or investigation alone will not qualify without an official determination of toxicological risk.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting and official statements.
Volume
$447,827
End Date
Feb 28, 2026
Created At
Jan 28, 2026, 2:28 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any official authority publicly confirms that the liquid sprayed on Ilhan Omar at the January 27, 2026 Minneapolis town hall contained a poison or toxin, or otherwise posed a meaningful toxicological health risk. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no broad consensus from credible reporting and authoritative statements has been reached by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.” If the substance is confirmed to be a mixture, this market will resolve to “Yes” if any component is officially identified as a poison or toxin or is stated by authorities to pose a toxicological health risk. Descriptions of the substance as “unknown,” “unidentified,” “foul-smelling,” “irritating,” or precautionary testing or investigation alone will not qualify without an official determination of toxicological risk. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting and official statements.

Outcome proposed: No

Disputed

Outcome proposal

Final dispute

Final

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"What was Ilhan Omar sprayed with? " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Vinegar" at 100%, followed by "Poison/Toxin" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What was Ilhan Omar sprayed with? " has generated $447.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 28, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What was Ilhan Omar sprayed with? ," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What was Ilhan Omar sprayed with? " is "Vinegar" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Poison/Toxin" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What was Ilhan Omar sprayed with? " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create unbiased forecasts and "fact checks" for the most important events shaping public discourse. The accuracy of our markets is particularly invaluable in today's age of biased pundits, social media disinformation, and AI. We offer these breaking news markets as a public service to distill fact from fiction — we charge no fees & make no money on this market.

Market icon

What was Ilhan Omar sprayed with?

$447,827 Vol.

Polymarket

Poison/Toxin

$63,390 Vol.

1%

Urine

$89,337 Vol.

1%

Bacon grease

$58,523 Vol.

1%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"What was Ilhan Omar sprayed with? " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Vinegar" at 100%, followed by "Poison/Toxin" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What was Ilhan Omar sprayed with? " has generated $447.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 28, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What was Ilhan Omar sprayed with? ," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What was Ilhan Omar sprayed with? " is "Vinegar" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Poison/Toxin" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What was Ilhan Omar sprayed with? " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.