Recent diplomatic progress toward a U.S.-Iran agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and ease Middle East supply disruptions has driven sharp declines in WTI crude, with front-month futures settling near $76 per barrel as of mid-June 2026 after falling more than 4% in a single session. This follows earlier 2026 spikes above $100 amid production outages exceeding 11 million barrels per day and steep global inventory draws. Traders now price in restored flows, potential OPEC+ output adjustments, and softer demand growth after OPEC trimmed its 2026 forecast to 970,000 barrels per day. Key near-term catalysts include the June 18 OPEC World Oil Outlook and any final peace-deal details that could influence monthly settlement amid broader oversupply expectations.