Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 54% implied probability to HOOD hitting $85 or higher during May 2026 regular trading hours—the leading outcome—driven by post-Q1 earnings momentum where revenues climbed 15% year-over-year to $1.07 billion on robust $18 billion net deposits and double-digit growth in prediction markets, futures, and index options, offsetting crypto weakness and a $0.38 EPS miss. Shares recovered from an initial April 30 dip, posting a May 14 high of $81.93 amid fintech sector tailwinds and yesterday's 5% intraday gain on elevated trading volume. Analyst targets average $108, but with two weeks to month-end, macro volatility or Treasury yield shifts could influence peak pricing before the June 2 annual meeting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$145,572 Vol.
↑ $115
2%
↑ $110
3%
↑ $105
3%
↑ $100
7%
↑ $95
20%
↑ $90
31%
↑ $85
49%
↓ $70
36%
↓ $65
14%
↓ $60
8%
↓ $55
3%
↓ $50
3%
$145,572 Vol.
↑ $115
2%
↑ $110
3%
↑ $105
3%
↑ $100
7%
↑ $95
20%
↑ $90
31%
↑ $85
49%
↓ $70
36%
↓ $65
14%
↓ $60
8%
↓ $55
3%
↓ $50
3%
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.HOOD%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.HOOD%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Market Opened: Apr 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.HOOD%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.HOOD%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.HOOD%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.HOOD%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 54% implied probability to HOOD hitting $85 or higher during May 2026 regular trading hours—the leading outcome—driven by post-Q1 earnings momentum where revenues climbed 15% year-over-year to $1.07 billion on robust $18 billion net deposits and double-digit growth in prediction markets, futures, and index options, offsetting crypto weakness and a $0.38 EPS miss. Shares recovered from an initial April 30 dip, posting a May 14 high of $81.93 amid fintech sector tailwinds and yesterday's 5% intraday gain on elevated trading volume. Analyst targets average $108, but with two weeks to month-end, macro volatility or Treasury yield shifts could influence peak pricing before the June 2 annual meeting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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