What day will the Brown Shooter be arrested?
No Arrest in 2025 100.0%
December 17 <1%
December 18 <1%
December 19 <1%
$702,061 Vol.
$702,061 Vol.
December 17
No
December 18
No
December 19
No
December 20
No
December 21
No
December 22
No
December 23
No
December 24
No
December 25
No
December 26
No
December 27
No
December 28
No
December 29
No
December 30
No
December 31
No
No Arrest in 2025
Yes
No Arrest in 2025 100.0%
December 17 <1%
December 18 <1%
December 19 <1%
$702,061 Vol.
$702,061 Vol.
December 17
No
December 18
No
December 19
No
December 20
No
December 21
No
December 22
No
December 23
No
December 24
No
December 25
No
December 26
No
December 27
No
December 28
No
December 29
No
December 30
No
December 31
No
No Arrest in 2025
Yes
Only arrests of individuals for alleged participation in the planning or execution of the shooting itself will qualify. Arrests made solely for related or subsequent conduct will not qualify.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant is being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
If no qualifying arrest occurs by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Arrest in 2025”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Dec 17, 2025, 11:47 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Only arrests of individuals for alleged participation in the planning or execution of the shooting itself will qualify. Arrests made solely for related or subsequent conduct will not qualify.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant is being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
If no qualifying arrest occurs by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Arrest in 2025”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes




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