Incumbent Democratic Representative Emily Randall holds a commanding position in Washington’s 6th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election. She advanced comfortably from the August top-two primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote against a divided Republican field, while Teresa Fox secured the second slot. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with its recent partisan lean and Randall’s 2024 margin. Randall’s substantial fundraising edge and established incumbency further reinforce trader consensus reflected in current pricing. A major shift would require unforeseen late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or national political realignment capable of overcoming the district’s structural advantages for the Democratic nominee.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWA-06 House Election Winner
WA-06 House Election Winner
$38,283 Vol.
$38,283 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Emily Randall (D)
95%
Teresa Fox (R)
5%
$38,283 Vol.
$38,283 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Emily Randall (D)
$4,040 Vol.
95%
Teresa Fox (R)
$34,243 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Emily Randall holds a commanding position in Washington’s 6th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election. She advanced comfortably from the August top-two primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote against a divided Republican field, while Teresa Fox secured the second slot. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with its recent partisan lean and Randall’s 2024 margin. Randall’s substantial fundraising edge and established incumbency further reinforce trader consensus reflected in current pricing. A major shift would require unforeseen late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or national political realignment capable of overcoming the district’s structural advantages for the Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$38,283End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Emily Randall holds a commanding position in Washington’s 6th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election. She advanced comfortably from the August top-two primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote against a divided Republican field, while Teresa Fox secured the second slot. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with its recent partisan lean and Randall’s 2024 margin. Randall’s substantial fundraising edge and established incumbency further reinforce trader consensus reflected in current pricing. A major shift would require unforeseen late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or national political realignment capable of overcoming the district’s structural advantages for the Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$38,283End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Emily Randall holds a commanding position in Washington’s 6th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election. She advanced comfortably from the August top-two primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote against a divided Republican field, while Teresa Fox secured the second slot. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with its recent partisan lean and Randall’s 2024 margin. Randall’s substantial fundraising edge and established incumbency further reinforce trader consensus reflected in current pricing. A major shift would require unforeseen late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or national political realignment capable of overcoming the district’s structural advantages for the Democratic nominee.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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