Patrick Paquet secured a commanding lead in the Vanier-Les Rivières riding during the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election, reflecting strong local support for the Parti conservateur du Québec candidate amid the retirement of the incumbent CAQ MNA. Paquet, a former municipal councillor and entrepreneur with extensive community ties in the Quebec City area, benefited from PCQ momentum across the region and voter shifts away from the CAQ, which had held the seat with nearly 48% in 2022. Polling and forecasts in the final weeks consistently placed him ahead of PQ nominee Stéphanie Martin, PLQ's Charles Hudon, and CAQ's Françoise Faverjon-Fortin. Official results showed him winning with approximately 37% of the vote, a margin exceeding 13 points. Late developments such as a successful recount petition or eligibility challenge could theoretically alter the outcome before final certification, though no such actions have been reported.