Recent geopolitical tensions and US sanctions have sustained pressure on the Iranian rial in free-market trading, with the USD/IRR rate hovering near 1.87 million rials as of mid-August. Heightened regional conflict risks earlier in the summer drove a July peak above 1.94 million, while a temporary June understanding with the US allowed a brief rebound that has since faded amid persistent inflation concerns and limited export revenues. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 1.9–2.0 million and 2.0–2.1 million brackets aligns with expectations of modest further depreciation or stability through end-August, given ongoing diplomatic frictions and domestic monetary dynamics. Resolution hinges on any late-month shifts in sanctions enforcement or conflict signals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated1.9-2.0M 41%
2.0-2.1M 22.3%
1.8-1.9M 22%
<1.7M 11%
$27,078 Vol.
$27,078 Vol.
<1.7M
11%
1.7-1.8M
10%
1.8-1.9M
22%
1.9-2.0M
41%
2.0-2.1M
22%
2.1-2.2M
3%
2.2M+
2%
1.9-2.0M 41%
2.0-2.1M 22.3%
1.8-1.9M 22%
<1.7M 11%
$27,078 Vol.
$27,078 Vol.
<1.7M
11%
1.7-1.8M
10%
1.8-1.9M
22%
1.9-2.0M
41%
2.0-2.1M
22%
2.1-2.2M
3%
2.2M+
2%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Jul 29, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent geopolitical tensions and US sanctions have sustained pressure on the Iranian rial in free-market trading, with the USD/IRR rate hovering near 1.87 million rials as of mid-August. Heightened regional conflict risks earlier in the summer drove a July peak above 1.94 million, while a temporary June understanding with the US allowed a brief rebound that has since faded amid persistent inflation concerns and limited export revenues. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 1.9–2.0 million and 2.0–2.1 million brackets aligns with expectations of modest further depreciation or stability through end-August, given ongoing diplomatic frictions and domestic monetary dynamics. Resolution hinges on any late-month shifts in sanctions enforcement or conflict signals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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