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icon for US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Men's Singles)
Sports·ATP

US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Men's Singles)

icon for US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Men's Singles)
Sports·ATP

US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Men's Singles)

$53,661 Vol.

Sep 10, 2026
Polymarket

$53,661 Vol.

Polymarket

Alexander Zverev

$4,740 Vol.

Yes

Carlos Alcaraz

$5,160 Vol.

No

Felix Auger-Aliassime

$662 Vol.

No

Novak Djokovic

$8 Vol.

No

Flavio Cobolli

$8 Vol.

No

Alex de Minaur

$276 Vol.

No

Daniil Medvedev

$1,867 Vol.

No

Ben Shelton

$2,229 Vol.

Yes

Taylor Fritz

$1,408 Vol.

No

Arthur Fils

$1,049 Vol.

No

Frances Tiafoe

$4,057 Vol.

Yes

Rafael Jodar

$2,131 Vol.

No

Lorenzo Musetti

$8 Vol.

No

Learner Tien

$462 Vol.

No

Alexander Bublik

$330 Vol.

No

Brandon Nakashima

$657 Vol.

No

Jakub Mensik

$70 Vol.

No

Jiri Lehecka

$461 Vol.

No

Casper Ruud

$29 Vol.

No

Tommy Paul

$350 Vol.

No

Luciano Darderi

$1,337 Vol.

No

Valentin Vacherot

$1,867 Vol.

No

Andrey Rublev

$395 Vol.

No

Francisco Cerundolo

$483 Vol.

No

Joao Fonseca

$249 Vol.

No

Alejandro Tabilo

$793 Vol.

No

Arthur Rinderknech

$189 Vol.

No

Ugo Humbert

$132 Vol.

No

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

$1,133 Vol.

No

Alexander Blockx

$8,074 Vol.

No

Zizou Bergs

$238 Vol.

No

Cameron Norrie

$111 Vol.

No

Darwin Blanch

$381 Vol.

No

Sebastian Gorzny

$626 Vol.

No

Jack Kennedy

$141 Vol.

No

Patrick Kypson

$6,649 Vol.

No

Gael Monfils

$1,177 Vol.

No

Dane Sweeny

$358 Vol.

No

J.J. Wolf

$290 Vol.

No

Michael Zheng

$1,736 Vol.

No

Juncheng Shang

$189 Vol.

No

Thanasi Kokkinakis

$731 Vol.

No

Filip Misolic

$8 Vol.

No

Carlos Taberner

$413 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 US Open men's draw has opened significantly with Jannik Sinner absent due to injury and defending champion Carlos Alcaraz eliminated in the quarterfinals. Ben Shelton produced the standout result by rallying past Alcaraz in a five-set marathon that finished at 3:33 a.m., the latest in tournament history, while Frances Tiafoe overcame a two-set deficit to defeat fellow American Alex Michelsen in another five-setter. Alexander Zverev advanced in straight sets, and Karen Khachanov moved forward when Alexander Blockx retired. These results set an all-American semifinal between Shelton and Tiafoe, with Zverev facing Khachanov on the opposite side, leaving the final four highly competitive and sensitive to recent form, physical recovery, and surface-specific execution on hard courts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$53,661
End Date
Sep 10, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 11:26 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 US Open men's draw has opened significantly with Jannik Sinner absent due to injury and defending champion Carlos Alcaraz eliminated in the quarterfinals. Ben Shelton produced the standout result by rallying past Alcaraz in a five-set marathon that finished at 3:33 a.m., the latest in tournament history, while Frances Tiafoe overcame a two-set deficit to defeat fellow American Alex Michelsen in another five-setter. Alexander Zverev advanced in straight sets, and Karen Khachanov moved forward when Alexander Blockx retired. These results set an all-American semifinal between Shelton and Tiafoe, with Zverev facing Khachanov on the opposite side, leaving the final four highly competitive and sensitive to recent form, physical recovery, and surface-specific execution on hard courts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$53,661
End Date
Sep 10, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 11:26 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Men's Singles)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alexander Zverev" at 100%, followed by "Ben Shelton" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Men's Singles)" has generated $53.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Men's Singles)," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Men's Singles)" is "Alexander Zverev" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ben Shelton" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Men's Singles)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.