US government shutdown in 2025?
$3,512,315 Vol.
$3,512,315 Vol.
$3,512,315 Vol.
$3,512,315 Vol.
If the Office of Personnel Management announces a partial shutdown this will count, however announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be the website of the U.S. Office of Personnel Management (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/).
Market Opened: Jan 9, 2025, 5:51 PM ET
Resolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Judge Rulings
A federal judge has ruled that the Trump administration must halt some DOGE cuts and layoffs at 20 agencies, citing a likely overreach of authority without Congressional approval. Meanwhile, Florida faces a potential government shutdown as budget negotiations collapse over a tax cut deal, prompting an extended legislative session to avoid crisis by June 30.
Democrats Accused
House Republicans have accused Democrats of failing to pass a bill to prevent a government shutdown, intensifying political tensions. Historical references to past shutdowns, including the longest in history under Trump's first term, highlight the ongoing struggle for compromise and the severe economic impacts like major unemployment claims and market drops.
If the Office of Personnel Management announces a partial shutdown this will count, however announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be the website of the U.S. Office of Personnel Management (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/).
Resolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Judge Rulings
A federal judge has ruled that the Trump administration must halt some DOGE cuts and layoffs at 20 agencies, citing a likely overreach of authority without Congressional approval. Meanwhile, Florida faces a potential government shutdown as budget negotiations collapse over a tax cut deal, prompting an extended legislative session to avoid crisis by June 30.
Democrats Accused
House Republicans have accused Democrats of failing to pass a bill to prevent a government shutdown, intensifying political tensions. Historical references to past shutdowns, including the longest in history under Trump's first term, highlight the ongoing struggle for compromise and the severe economic impacts like major unemployment claims and market drops.



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