Ukrainian presidential elections remain barred under martial law, extended by parliament through October 31, 2026, with no official scheduling announced. Zelenskyy stated on October 11 that a 60-day total ceasefire would allow preparations for a vote, responding to U.S. President Trump's call for a new leader. Public polling shows 71% oppose wartime elections while 53% prefer Zelenskyy serve only one term. Parliament working groups have examined legal options but maintain the constitutional restriction, and traders price the probability of a formal call by December 31, 2026, at low levels reflecting these barriers. Any shift would require verified de-escalation or martial law termination within the resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

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