Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has not scheduled a national referendum on a potential peace deal with Russia amid ongoing martial law, which legally prohibits elections or referendums during wartime. Speculation peaked in February 2026 with media reports of a possible announcement on the war's fourth anniversary, tied to U.S. pressure for territorial compromises like ceding Donbas, but Zelenskyy emphasized the need for a ceasefire and stronger U.S. leverage on Moscow first. A March KIIS poll showed 61% of Ukrainians might support a peace agreement with territorial concessions if framed with EU membership, security guarantees, and reconstruction aid. NGOs criticized the idea as unlawful, while Russia demands Ukrainian elections as a precondition yet blocks ceasefires. Traders watch for diplomatic breakthroughs or policy shifts before any resolution deadline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUkraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
$236,085 Vol.
June 30
7%
September 30
24%
December 31
29%
$236,085 Vol.
June 30
7%
September 30
24%
December 31
29%
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be scheduled once a date for the referendum to take place has been officially scheduled and publicly announced by a relevant Ukrainian government authority with the legal jurisdiction to do so.
Once a qualifying referendum has been scheduled, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Dec 29, 2025, 1:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be scheduled once a date for the referendum to take place has been officially scheduled and publicly announced by a relevant Ukrainian government authority with the legal jurisdiction to do so.
Once a qualifying referendum has been scheduled, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has not scheduled a national referendum on a potential peace deal with Russia amid ongoing martial law, which legally prohibits elections or referendums during wartime. Speculation peaked in February 2026 with media reports of a possible announcement on the war's fourth anniversary, tied to U.S. pressure for territorial compromises like ceding Donbas, but Zelenskyy emphasized the need for a ceasefire and stronger U.S. leverage on Moscow first. A March KIIS poll showed 61% of Ukrainians might support a peace agreement with territorial concessions if framed with EU membership, security guarantees, and reconstruction aid. NGOs criticized the idea as unlawful, while Russia demands Ukrainian elections as a precondition yet blocks ceasefires. Traders watch for diplomatic breakthroughs or policy shifts before any resolution deadline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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