Bayern Munich holds a slim trader consensus edge at 31.5% implied probability after a gritty 2-1 away win over Real Madrid in the Champions League quarter-final first leg, showcasing Harry Kane's clinical finishing and defensive resilience despite Madrid's home dominance. Arsenal, unbeaten through a flawless league-phase campaign, sit close at 25.5% following Kai Havertz's late strike for a 1-0 victory at Sporting CP, bolstering their knockout pedigree. PSG's convincing 2-0 home triumph against Liverpool underpins their 20.5% standing, fueled by attacking firepower. Atletico Madrid's shock 2-0 defeat of Barcelona lifts them to 7.1%, but with second legs imminent—featuring home advantages for trailing sides—the bunched odds among leaders highlight tense aggregate battles and upset potential ahead.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBayern Munich 32%
Arsenal 26%
PSG 21%
Atletico Madrid 7.1%
$233,628,409 Vol.
$233,628,409 Vol.
Bayern Munich
32%
Arsenal
26%
PSG
21%
Atletico Madrid
7%
Barcelona
7%
Real Madrid
5%
Liverpool
2%
Sporting
1%
Club Brugge
<1%
Bayern Munich 32%
Arsenal 26%
PSG 21%
Atletico Madrid 7.1%
$233,628,409 Vol.
$233,628,409 Vol.
Bayern Munich
32%
Arsenal
26%
PSG
21%
Atletico Madrid
7%
Barcelona
7%
Real Madrid
5%
Liverpool
2%
Sporting
1%
Club Brugge
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 28, 2025, 11:38 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Bayern Munich holds a slim trader consensus edge at 31.5% implied probability after a gritty 2-1 away win over Real Madrid in the Champions League quarter-final first leg, showcasing Harry Kane's clinical finishing and defensive resilience despite Madrid's home dominance. Arsenal, unbeaten through a flawless league-phase campaign, sit close at 25.5% following Kai Havertz's late strike for a 1-0 victory at Sporting CP, bolstering their knockout pedigree. PSG's convincing 2-0 home triumph against Liverpool underpins their 20.5% standing, fueled by attacking firepower. Atletico Madrid's shock 2-0 defeat of Barcelona lifts them to 7.1%, but with second legs imminent—featuring home advantages for trailing sides—the bunched odds among leaders highlight tense aggregate battles and upset potential ahead.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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