Trader consensus on Polymarket has priced United Bankshares (UBSI) "Yes" shares at 100% implied probability for beating Q1 2026 quarterly earnings, reflecting the company's earnings release earlier today reporting diluted GAAP EPS of $0.89—surpassing Street consensus estimates of $0.85 by 4 cents. This beat was driven by robust net income of $124.2 million (up from $84.3 million year-over-year), a solid 3.80% net interest margin amid stabilizing regional banking conditions, and strong credit quality metrics including 1.49% return on assets. Consistent beats in prior quarters, like Q4 2025's $0.91 versus $0.86 expected, reinforce this high confidence. Tail risks remain minimal but could include rare post-release restatements or Polymarket resolution disputes over final GAAP figures.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$6,555 Vol.
$6,555 Vol.
Apr 23, 2026
$6,555 Vol.
$6,555 Vol.
Apr 23, 2026
As of market creation, United Bankshares is estimated to release earnings on April 23, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for United Bankshares's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.85 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if United Bankshares reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.85 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If United Bankshares releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Trader consensus on Polymarket has priced United Bankshares (UBSI) "Yes" shares at 100% implied probability for beating Q1 2026 quarterly earnings, reflecting the company's earnings release earlier today reporting diluted GAAP EPS of $0.89—surpassing Street consensus estimates of $0.85 by 4 cents. This beat was driven by robust net income of $124.2 million (up from $84.3 million year-over-year), a solid 3.80% net interest margin amid stabilizing regional banking conditions, and strong credit quality metrics including 1.49% return on assets. Consistent beats in prior quarters, like Q4 2025's $0.91 versus $0.86 expected, reinforce this high confidence. Tail risks remain minimal but could include rare post-release restatements or Polymarket resolution disputes over final GAAP figures.
As of market creation, United Bankshares is estimated to release earnings on April 23, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for United Bankshares's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.85 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if United Bankshares reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.85 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If United Bankshares releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
If United Bankshares releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Market Opened: Apr 10, 2026, 5:15 PM ET
Volume
$6,555End Date
Apr 23, 2026Market Opened
Apr 10, 2026, 5:15 PM ETResolution Source
https://seekingalpha.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
As of market creation, United Bankshares is estimated to release earnings on April 23, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for United Bankshares's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.85 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if United Bankshares reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.85 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If United Bankshares releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Trader consensus on Polymarket has priced United Bankshares (UBSI) "Yes" shares at 100% implied probability for beating Q1 2026 quarterly earnings, reflecting the company's earnings release earlier today reporting diluted GAAP EPS of $0.89—surpassing Street consensus estimates of $0.85 by 4 cents. This beat was driven by robust net income of $124.2 million (up from $84.3 million year-over-year), a solid 3.80% net interest margin amid stabilizing regional banking conditions, and strong credit quality metrics including 1.49% return on assets. Consistent beats in prior quarters, like Q4 2025's $0.91 versus $0.86 expected, reinforce this high confidence. Tail risks remain minimal but could include rare post-release restatements or Polymarket resolution disputes over final GAAP figures.
As of market creation, United Bankshares is estimated to release earnings on April 23, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for United Bankshares's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.85 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if United Bankshares reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.85 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If United Bankshares releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
If United Bankshares releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Volume
$6,555End Date
Apr 23, 2026Market Opened
Apr 10, 2026, 5:15 PM ETResolution Source
https://seekingalpha.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Trader consensus on Polymarket has priced United Bankshares (UBSI) "Yes" shares at 100% implied probability for beating Q1 2026 quarterly earnings, reflecting the company's earnings release earlier today reporting diluted GAAP EPS of $0.89—surpassing Street consensus estimates of $0.85 by 4 cents. This beat was driven by robust net income of $124.2 million (up from $84.3 million year-over-year), a solid 3.80% net interest margin amid stabilizing regional banking conditions, and strong credit quality metrics including 1.49% return on assets. Consistent beats in prior quarters, like Q4 2025's $0.91 versus $0.86 expected, reinforce this high confidence. Tail risks remain minimal but could include rare post-release restatements or Polymarket resolution disputes over final GAAP figures.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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