Traders assign a 99.5% probability that President Trump will remain in office through June 30 because no impeachment proceedings, 25th Amendment invocation, or resignation signals are active in Congress or the executive branch, and the twelve-day window leaves insufficient time for any constitutional removal process to conclude. Midterm elections remain more than two years away, and no recent legislative votes, cabinet actions, or court rulings have created momentum for early departure. While a sudden health crisis, major scandal prompting immediate resignation, or unforeseen legal development could still shift the outcome, current primary-source indicators show no such developments underway.