President Trump remains in office past the April 30 deadline, cementing trader consensus at 100% "No" for him being out as President, as confirmed by official White House statements and continuity of executive functions into May. High confidence stems from the absence of any successful impeachment by the House and two-thirds Senate conviction, invocation of the 25th Amendment by Vice President Vance and a majority of principal officers, resignation announcement, or incapacitating health event during his second term through late April 2026. No notable developments in the past 30 days—such as congressional investigations advancing to removal votes or cabinet declarations—have disrupted this status quo. Realistic scenarios to shift odds, though improbable post-deadline, include late-breaking verified reports of prior incapacity or disputed resolution criteria based on primary sources like the U.S. Constitution or official records.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$16,315,168 Vol.
$16,315,168 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
$16,315,168 Vol.
$16,315,168 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump remains in office past the April 30 deadline, cementing trader consensus at 100% "No" for him being out as President, as confirmed by official White House statements and continuity of executive functions into May. High confidence stems from the absence of any successful impeachment by the House and two-thirds Senate conviction, invocation of the 25th Amendment by Vice President Vance and a majority of principal officers, resignation announcement, or incapacitating health event during his second term through late April 2026. No notable developments in the past 30 days—such as congressional investigations advancing to removal votes or cabinet declarations—have disrupted this status quo. Realistic scenarios to shift odds, though improbable post-deadline, include late-breaking verified reports of prior incapacity or disputed resolution criteria based on primary sources like the U.S. Constitution or official records.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Mar 26, 2026, 2:46 PM ET
Volume
$16,315,168End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump remains in office past the April 30 deadline, cementing trader consensus at 100% "No" for him being out as President, as confirmed by official White House statements and continuity of executive functions into May. High confidence stems from the absence of any successful impeachment by the House and two-thirds Senate conviction, invocation of the 25th Amendment by Vice President Vance and a majority of principal officers, resignation announcement, or incapacitating health event during his second term through late April 2026. No notable developments in the past 30 days—such as congressional investigations advancing to removal votes or cabinet declarations—have disrupted this status quo. Realistic scenarios to shift odds, though improbable post-deadline, include late-breaking verified reports of prior incapacity or disputed resolution criteria based on primary sources like the U.S. Constitution or official records.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$16,315,168End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
President Trump remains in office past the April 30 deadline, cementing trader consensus at 100% "No" for him being out as President, as confirmed by official White House statements and continuity of executive functions into May. High confidence stems from the absence of any successful impeachment by the House and two-thirds Senate conviction, invocation of the 25th Amendment by Vice President Vance and a majority of principal officers, resignation announcement, or incapacitating health event during his second term through late April 2026. No notable developments in the past 30 days—such as congressional investigations advancing to removal votes or cabinet declarations—have disrupted this status quo. Realistic scenarios to shift odds, though improbable post-deadline, include late-breaking verified reports of prior incapacity or disputed resolution criteria based on primary sources like the U.S. Constitution or official records.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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