Trader consensus on Polymarket prices President Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating rising from its April 17, 2026 level by April 24 at near-certainty, reflecting stabilization after an initial post-Iran war decline, bolstered by the April 7 two-week ceasefire announcement that stemmed further erosion despite ongoing economic headwinds like high gas prices and inflation. Recent polls underscore this, with Rasmussen tracking steady at 45% this week versus last and up five points from two weeks prior, while Silver Bulletin net approval held near -16.6% over the past seven days amid no major new negatives. Absent fresh catalysts such as adverse economic reports, congressional pushback on war funding, or Iran peace talk breakdowns, the trajectory favors an uptick; late-breaking scandals, health events, or military developments could still reverse it before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUp
$8,666 Vol.
$8,666 Vol.
Apr 18, 2026
Up
$8,666 Vol.
$8,666 Vol.
Apr 18, 2026
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 17, 2026, than on April 10, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 10, 2026, than on April 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices President Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating rising from its April 17, 2026 level by April 24 at near-certainty, reflecting stabilization after an initial post-Iran war decline, bolstered by the April 7 two-week ceasefire announcement that stemmed further erosion despite ongoing economic headwinds like high gas prices and inflation. Recent polls underscore this, with Rasmussen tracking steady at 45% this week versus last and up five points from two weeks prior, while Silver Bulletin net approval held near -16.6% over the past seven days amid no major new negatives. Absent fresh catalysts such as adverse economic reports, congressional pushback on war funding, or Iran peace talk breakdowns, the trajectory favors an uptick; late-breaking scandals, health events, or military developments could still reverse it before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 17, 2026, than on April 10, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 10, 2026, than on April 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 10, 2026, than on April 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Market Opened: Apr 10, 2026, 10:06 AM ET
Volume
$8,666End Date
Apr 18, 2026Market Opened
Apr 10, 2026, 10:06 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Up
No dispute
Final outcome: Up
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 17, 2026, than on April 10, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 10, 2026, than on April 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices President Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating rising from its April 17, 2026 level by April 24 at near-certainty, reflecting stabilization after an initial post-Iran war decline, bolstered by the April 7 two-week ceasefire announcement that stemmed further erosion despite ongoing economic headwinds like high gas prices and inflation. Recent polls underscore this, with Rasmussen tracking steady at 45% this week versus last and up five points from two weeks prior, while Silver Bulletin net approval held near -16.6% over the past seven days amid no major new negatives. Absent fresh catalysts such as adverse economic reports, congressional pushback on war funding, or Iran peace talk breakdowns, the trajectory favors an uptick; late-breaking scandals, health events, or military developments could still reverse it before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 17, 2026, than on April 10, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 10, 2026, than on April 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 10, 2026, than on April 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$8,666End Date
Apr 18, 2026Market Opened
Apr 10, 2026, 10:06 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Up
No dispute
Final outcome: Up
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices President Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating rising from its April 17, 2026 level by April 24 at near-certainty, reflecting stabilization after an initial post-Iran war decline, bolstered by the April 7 two-week ceasefire announcement that stemmed further erosion despite ongoing economic headwinds like high gas prices and inflation. Recent polls underscore this, with Rasmussen tracking steady at 45% this week versus last and up five points from two weeks prior, while Silver Bulletin net approval held near -16.6% over the past seven days amid no major new negatives. Absent fresh catalysts such as adverse economic reports, congressional pushback on war funding, or Iran peace talk breakdowns, the trajectory favors an uptick; late-breaking scandals, health events, or military developments could still reverse it before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions