Recent polling averages show President Trump's job approval hovering near 37-40 percent, with modest weekly rebounds in surveys from YouGov and Reuters/Ipsos reflecting slight gains on foreign policy handling amid Iran-related developments. Competitive balance stems from entrenched economic concerns, including inflation and cost-of-living pressures that have kept net approval deeply negative, offset by limited positive movement in recent data releases. Trader sentiment remains closely divided because approval metrics often shift with incoming survey results, scheduled economic indicators, or policy announcements that can alter short-term trajectories in either direction before week-end resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUp
$74 Vol.
$74 Vol.
Jun 19, 2026
Up
$74 Vol.
$74 Vol.
Jun 19, 2026
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 19, 2026, than on June 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 12, 2026, than on June 19, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages show President Trump's job approval hovering near 37-40 percent, with modest weekly rebounds in surveys from YouGov and Reuters/Ipsos reflecting slight gains on foreign policy handling amid Iran-related developments. Competitive balance stems from entrenched economic concerns, including inflation and cost-of-living pressures that have kept net approval deeply negative, offset by limited positive movement in recent data releases. Trader sentiment remains closely divided because approval metrics often shift with incoming survey results, scheduled economic indicators, or policy announcements that can alter short-term trajectories in either direction before week-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 19, 2026, than on June 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 12, 2026, than on June 19, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 12, 2026, than on June 19, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Market Opened: Jun 12, 2026, 7:23 PM ET
Volume
$74End Date
Jun 19, 2026Market Opened
Jun 12, 2026, 7:23 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Up
No dispute
Final outcome: Up
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 19, 2026, than on June 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 12, 2026, than on June 19, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages show President Trump's job approval hovering near 37-40 percent, with modest weekly rebounds in surveys from YouGov and Reuters/Ipsos reflecting slight gains on foreign policy handling amid Iran-related developments. Competitive balance stems from entrenched economic concerns, including inflation and cost-of-living pressures that have kept net approval deeply negative, offset by limited positive movement in recent data releases. Trader sentiment remains closely divided because approval metrics often shift with incoming survey results, scheduled economic indicators, or policy announcements that can alter short-term trajectories in either direction before week-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 19, 2026, than on June 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 12, 2026, than on June 19, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 12, 2026, than on June 19, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$74End Date
Jun 19, 2026Market Opened
Jun 12, 2026, 7:23 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Up
No dispute
Final outcome: Up
Recent polling averages show President Trump's job approval hovering near 37-40 percent, with modest weekly rebounds in surveys from YouGov and Reuters/Ipsos reflecting slight gains on foreign policy handling amid Iran-related developments. Competitive balance stems from entrenched economic concerns, including inflation and cost-of-living pressures that have kept net approval deeply negative, offset by limited positive movement in recent data releases. Trader sentiment remains closely divided because approval metrics often shift with incoming survey results, scheduled economic indicators, or policy announcements that can alter short-term trajectories in either direction before week-end resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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