Trump approval rating on October 10?
$75,693 Vol.
43.5–43.9% 100.0%
<42.5% <1%
42.5–42.9% <1%
43.0–43.4% <1%
OUTCOMERESULT
<42.5%
$16,717 Vol.
No
<42.5%
$16,717 Vol.
No
42.5–42.9%
$15,109 Vol.
No
42.5–42.9%
$15,109 Vol.
No
43.0–43.4%
$9,277 Vol.
No
43.0–43.4%
$9,277 Vol.
No
43.5–43.9%
$7,821 Vol.
Yes
43.5–43.9%
$7,821 Vol.
Yes
44.0–44.4%
$11,718 Vol.
No
44.0–44.4%
$11,718 Vol.
No
44.5%+
$15,052 Vol.
No
44.5%+
$15,052 Vol.
No
Rules
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on October 10, 2025.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Created At: Oct 3, 2025, 5:32 PM
Volume
$75,693End Date
Oct 11, 2025Created At
Oct 3, 2025, 5:32 PMResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
$75,693 Vol.
Trump approval rating on October 10?
43.5–43.9% 100.0%
<42.5% <1%
42.5–42.9% <1%
43.0–43.4% <1%
<42.5%
$16,717 Vol.
No
42.5–42.9%
$15,109 Vol.
No
43.0–43.4%
$9,277 Vol.
No
43.5–43.9%
$7,821 Vol.
Yes
44.0–44.4%
$11,718 Vol.
No
44.5%+
$15,052 Vol.
No
About
Volume
$75,693End Date
Oct 11, 2025Created At
Oct 3, 2025, 5:32 PMResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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