Recent polling from mid-June shows Donald Trump's approval rating fluctuating in a narrow band between 36% and 40%, with several surveys clustering near 38-39%. A modest rebound in the latest Economist/YouGov tracking—rising four points in a week to 39% approve—reflects easing public concern over living costs and diplomatic signals around Iran, though net ratings remain deeply negative. Other releases, including Reuters/Ipsos and Emerson College, place support at 36-39%, keeping the June 19 outcome tightly contested between adjacent buckets. Trader consensus reflects this polling stability, with limited room for sharp movement absent major new catalysts such as economic data releases or foreign policy breakthroughs before the measurement window closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated39.0–39.4 100.0%
39.5–39.9 4.2%
<38.0 1.6%
38.0–38.4 1.0%
$16,576 Vol.
$16,576 Vol.
Jun 19, 2026
<38.0
No
38.0–38.4
No
38.5–38.9
No
39.0–39.4
Yes
39.5–39.9
No
40.0+
No
39.0–39.4 100.0%
39.5–39.9 4.2%
<38.0 1.6%
38.0–38.4 1.0%
$16,576 Vol.
$16,576 Vol.
Jun 19, 2026
<38.0
$2,996 Vol.
No
38.0–38.4
$2,817 Vol.
No
38.5–38.9
$2,323 Vol.
No
39.0–39.4
$4,581 Vol.
Yes
39.5–39.9
$1,766 Vol.
No
40.0+
$2,093 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 19, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling from mid-June shows Donald Trump's approval rating fluctuating in a narrow band between 36% and 40%, with several surveys clustering near 38-39%. A modest rebound in the latest Economist/YouGov tracking—rising four points in a week to 39% approve—reflects easing public concern over living costs and diplomatic signals around Iran, though net ratings remain deeply negative. Other releases, including Reuters/Ipsos and Emerson College, place support at 36-39%, keeping the June 19 outcome tightly contested between adjacent buckets. Trader consensus reflects this polling stability, with limited room for sharp movement absent major new catalysts such as economic data releases or foreign policy breakthroughs before the measurement window closes.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 19, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Market Opened: Jun 12, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Volume
$16,576End Date
Jun 19, 2026Market Opened
Jun 12, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 19, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling from mid-June shows Donald Trump's approval rating fluctuating in a narrow band between 36% and 40%, with several surveys clustering near 38-39%. A modest rebound in the latest Economist/YouGov tracking—rising four points in a week to 39% approve—reflects easing public concern over living costs and diplomatic signals around Iran, though net ratings remain deeply negative. Other releases, including Reuters/Ipsos and Emerson College, place support at 36-39%, keeping the June 19 outcome tightly contested between adjacent buckets. Trader consensus reflects this polling stability, with limited room for sharp movement absent major new catalysts such as economic data releases or foreign policy breakthroughs before the measurement window closes.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 19, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$16,576End Date
Jun 19, 2026Market Opened
Jun 12, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent polling from mid-June shows Donald Trump's approval rating fluctuating in a narrow band between 36% and 40%, with several surveys clustering near 38-39%. A modest rebound in the latest Economist/YouGov tracking—rising four points in a week to 39% approve—reflects easing public concern over living costs and diplomatic signals around Iran, though net ratings remain deeply negative. Other releases, including Reuters/Ipsos and Emerson College, place support at 36-39%, keeping the June 19 outcome tightly contested between adjacent buckets. Trader consensus reflects this polling stability, with limited room for sharp movement absent major new catalysts such as economic data releases or foreign policy breakthroughs before the measurement window closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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