Trump approval rating on December 31?
$98,479 Vol.
42.0–43.9% 37%
40.0–41.9% 34%
<40.0% 18%
44.0–45.9% 9%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
<40.0%
$21,961 Vol.
18%
<40.0%
$21,961 Vol.
18%
40.0–41.9%
$34,405 Vol.
34%
40.0–41.9%
$34,405 Vol.
34%
42.0–43.9%
$4,362 Vol.
37%
42.0–43.9%
$4,362 Vol.
37%
44.0–45.9%
$5,622 Vol.
9%
44.0–45.9%
$5,622 Vol.
9%
46.0–47.9%
$10,058 Vol.
2%
46.0–47.9%
$10,058 Vol.
2%
48.0–49.9%
$7,664 Vol.
<1%
48.0–49.9%
$7,664 Vol.
<1%
≥50.0%
$14,408 Vol.
<1%
≥50.0%
$14,408 Vol.
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on December 31, 2025.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$98,479
End Date
Jan 1, 2026
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...$98,479 Vol.
Trump approval rating on December 31?
42.0–43.9% 37%
40.0–41.9% 34%
<40.0% 18%
44.0–45.9% 9%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
<40.0%
$21,961 Vol.
18%
40.0–41.9%
$34,405 Vol.
34%
42.0–43.9%
$4,362 Vol.
37%
44.0–45.9%
$5,622 Vol.
9%
46.0–47.9%
$10,058 Vol.
2%
48.0–49.9%
$7,664 Vol.
<1%
≥50.0%
$14,408 Vol.
<1%
About
Volume
$98,479
End Date
Jan 1, 2026
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.