Iranian authorities imposed nationwide internet blackouts in January and again from late February through May 2026 amid widespread protests over economic conditions and during U.S.-Israeli military strikes, with the second episode lasting 88 days and reducing connectivity to roughly 1% of normal levels before partial restoration began on May 26. Monitoring groups documented centralized null-routing enforcement that decoupled control-plane announcements from actual traffic, alongside tiered access favoring select users and persistent blocks on platforms and VPNs even after the formal end of the shutdown. As of early September 2026, officials claim connectivity has returned to pre-January levels, yet independent reports indicate ongoing throttling, restricted international access, and elevated censorship that continues to limit information flow. These patterns reflect institutional responses to domestic unrest and external conflict, with trader assessments shaped by the potential for renewed escalation tied to protest dynamics, security decisions by the Supreme National Security Council, or diplomatic developments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$246,111 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
12%
December 31
28%
$246,111 Vol.
September 30
$5,062 Vol.
12%
December 31
$11,598 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iranian authorities imposed nationwide internet blackouts in January and again from late February through May 2026 amid widespread protests over economic conditions and during U.S.-Israeli military strikes, with the second episode lasting 88 days and reducing connectivity to roughly 1% of normal levels before partial restoration began on May 26. Monitoring groups documented centralized null-routing enforcement that decoupled control-plane announcements from actual traffic, alongside tiered access favoring select users and persistent blocks on platforms and VPNs even after the formal end of the shutdown. As of early September 2026, officials claim connectivity has returned to pre-January levels, yet independent reports indicate ongoing throttling, restricted international access, and elevated censorship that continues to limit information flow. These patterns reflect institutional responses to domestic unrest and external conflict, with trader assessments shaped by the potential for renewed escalation tied to protest dynamics, security decisions by the Supreme National Security Council, or diplomatic developments.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Volume
$246,111End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iranian authorities imposed nationwide internet blackouts in January and again from late February through May 2026 amid widespread protests over economic conditions and during U.S.-Israeli military strikes, with the second episode lasting 88 days and reducing connectivity to roughly 1% of normal levels before partial restoration began on May 26. Monitoring groups documented centralized null-routing enforcement that decoupled control-plane announcements from actual traffic, alongside tiered access favoring select users and persistent blocks on platforms and VPNs even after the formal end of the shutdown. As of early September 2026, officials claim connectivity has returned to pre-January levels, yet independent reports indicate ongoing throttling, restricted international access, and elevated censorship that continues to limit information flow. These patterns reflect institutional responses to domestic unrest and external conflict, with trader assessments shaped by the potential for renewed escalation tied to protest dynamics, security decisions by the Supreme National Security Council, or diplomatic developments.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$246,111End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iranian authorities imposed nationwide internet blackouts in January and again from late February through May 2026 amid widespread protests over economic conditions and during U.S.-Israeli military strikes, with the second episode lasting 88 days and reducing connectivity to roughly 1% of normal levels before partial restoration began on May 26. Monitoring groups documented centralized null-routing enforcement that decoupled control-plane announcements from actual traffic, alongside tiered access favoring select users and persistent blocks on platforms and VPNs even after the formal end of the shutdown. As of early September 2026, officials claim connectivity has returned to pre-January levels, yet independent reports indicate ongoing throttling, restricted international access, and elevated censorship that continues to limit information flow. These patterns reflect institutional responses to domestic unrest and external conflict, with trader assessments shaped by the potential for renewed escalation tied to protest dynamics, security decisions by the Supreme National Security Council, or diplomatic developments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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