The dominant market positioning for The End of Oak Street’s opening weekend in the 20-23 million range stems from consistent pre-release tracking that pegged domestic estimates between 18-23 million, supported by 2.5 million in previews and a modest B CinemaScore. As a Warner Bros./Bad Robot dinosaur film starring Anne Hathaway and Ewan McGregor and directed by David Robert Mitchell, the title faced stiff competition from Spider-Man: Brand New Day and PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie in the late-summer window, yet its 3,446-theater rollout delivered results squarely in line with industry forecasts and historical benchmarks for mid-August creature features. Traders view the narrow band as locked in given the alignment of NRG and Deadline models with actual daily breakdowns. An upset outside this range would require either a sharp last-minute audience surge or significant underperformance driven by word-of-mouth weakness, neither of which materialized in verified data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated“The End of Oak Street” Opening Weekend Box Office
“The End of Oak Street” Opening Weekend Box Office
20-23m 99.8%
<14m <1%
14-17m <1%
17-20m <1%
$102,950 Vol.
$102,950 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
<14m
No
14-17m
No
17-20m
No
20-23m
Yes
23-26m
No
26m+
No
20-23m 99.8%
<14m <1%
14-17m <1%
17-20m <1%
$102,950 Vol.
$102,950 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
<14m
$881 Vol.
No
14-17m
$3,334 Vol.
No
17-20m
$39,458 Vol.
No
20-23m
$18,624 Vol.
Yes
23-26m
$14,350 Vol.
No
26m+
$26,302 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to how much "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.The dominant market positioning for The End of Oak Street’s opening weekend in the 20-23 million range stems from consistent pre-release tracking that pegged domestic estimates between 18-23 million, supported by 2.5 million in previews and a modest B CinemaScore. As a Warner Bros./Bad Robot dinosaur film starring Anne Hathaway and Ewan McGregor and directed by David Robert Mitchell, the title faced stiff competition from Spider-Man: Brand New Day and PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie in the late-summer window, yet its 3,446-theater rollout delivered results squarely in line with industry forecasts and historical benchmarks for mid-August creature features. Traders view the narrow band as locked in given the alignment of NRG and Deadline models with actual daily breakdowns. An upset outside this range would require either a sharp last-minute audience surge or significant underperformance driven by word-of-mouth weakness, neither of which materialized in verified data.
This market will resolve according to how much "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 6:40 PM ET
Volume
$102,950End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 6:40 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve according to how much "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.The dominant market positioning for The End of Oak Street’s opening weekend in the 20-23 million range stems from consistent pre-release tracking that pegged domestic estimates between 18-23 million, supported by 2.5 million in previews and a modest B CinemaScore. As a Warner Bros./Bad Robot dinosaur film starring Anne Hathaway and Ewan McGregor and directed by David Robert Mitchell, the title faced stiff competition from Spider-Man: Brand New Day and PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie in the late-summer window, yet its 3,446-theater rollout delivered results squarely in line with industry forecasts and historical benchmarks for mid-August creature features. Traders view the narrow band as locked in given the alignment of NRG and Deadline models with actual daily breakdowns. An upset outside this range would require either a sharp last-minute audience surge or significant underperformance driven by word-of-mouth weakness, neither of which materialized in verified data.
This market will resolve according to how much "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$102,950End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 6:40 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The dominant market positioning for The End of Oak Street’s opening weekend in the 20-23 million range stems from consistent pre-release tracking that pegged domestic estimates between 18-23 million, supported by 2.5 million in previews and a modest B CinemaScore. As a Warner Bros./Bad Robot dinosaur film starring Anne Hathaway and Ewan McGregor and directed by David Robert Mitchell, the title faced stiff competition from Spider-Man: Brand New Day and PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie in the late-summer window, yet its 3,446-theater rollout delivered results squarely in line with industry forecasts and historical benchmarks for mid-August creature features. Traders view the narrow band as locked in given the alignment of NRG and Deadline models with actual daily breakdowns. An upset outside this range would require either a sharp last-minute audience surge or significant underperformance driven by word-of-mouth weakness, neither of which materialized in verified data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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