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icon for Ted Cruz # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

Ted Cruz # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

icon for Ted Cruz # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

Ted Cruz # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

140-159 100.0%

<20 <1%

20-39 <1%

40-59 <1%

Polymarket

$19,668 Vol.

140-159 100.0%

<20 <1%

20-39 <1%

40-59 <1%

Polymarket

$19,668 Vol.

<20

$694 Vol.

No

20-39

$469 Vol.

No

40-59

$389 Vol.

No

60-79

$1,556 Vol.

No

80-99

$1,124 Vol.

No

100-119

$2,788 Vol.

No

120-139

$1,444 Vol.

No

140-159

$3,425 Vol.

Yes

160-179

$5,567 Vol.

No

180-199

$1,694 Vol.

No

200+

$519 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ted Cruz’s established pattern of high-volume activity on X underpins the market’s overwhelming consensus around the 140-159 post range for May 15-22. As a U.S. senator from Texas, he has long ranked among the most prolific congressional posters, often exceeding 6,000 posts annually through commentary on legislation, policy debates, and breaking news. This consistent output reflects routine engagement rather than spikes tied to specific events, with no major disruptions such as extended travel, session recesses, or reduced visibility reported in the preceding weeks. Traders view deviations into adjacent bins as low-probability outliers that would require an atypical surge or drop in daily volume. Resolution hinges on verified post counts from his primary account during the defined window.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$19,668
End Date
May 22, 2026
Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/tedcruz
This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ted Cruz’s established pattern of high-volume activity on X underpins the market’s overwhelming consensus around the 140-159 post range for May 15-22. As a U.S. senator from Texas, he has long ranked among the most prolific congressional posters, often exceeding 6,000 posts annually through commentary on legislation, policy debates, and breaking news. This consistent output reflects routine engagement rather than spikes tied to specific events, with no major disruptions such as extended travel, session recesses, or reduced visibility reported in the preceding weeks. Traders view deviations into adjacent bins as low-probability outliers that would require an atypical surge or drop in daily volume. Resolution hinges on verified post counts from his primary account during the defined window.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$19,668
End Date
May 22, 2026
Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/tedcruz
This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Ted Cruz # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "140-159" at 100%, followed by "<20" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Ted Cruz # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?" has generated $19.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 12, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Ted Cruz # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Ted Cruz # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?" is "140-159" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<20" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Ted Cruz # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.