Recent polling shows the Social Democrats slipping to the 27-30% range in September surveys, down from stronger mid-year figures, amid a narrowing bloc gap as the right-wing Tidö parties close in ahead of the September 13 election. Latest Novus and other readings indicate the Liberals nearing or clearing the 4% threshold, which could bolster right-bloc seat math and limit opposition gains. Voter shifts toward the Centre and Left parties have also contributed to the Social Democrats' softer numbers, with overall left-bloc support now hovering near or just above 50% in several trackers. These late-campaign trends explain trader emphasis on outcomes below 110 seats.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated<105 52%
105-109 28%
110-114 15%
115-119 5.9%
$27,053 Vol.
$27,053 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
<105
52%
105-109
28%
110-114
15%
115-119
6%
120-124
5%
125-129
<1%
130+
<1%
<105 52%
105-109 28%
110-114 15%
115-119 5.9%
$27,053 Vol.
$27,053 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
<105
$8,579 Vol.
52%
105-109
$9,074 Vol.
28%
110-114
$5,570 Vol.
15%
115-119
$775 Vol.
6%
120-124
$1,345 Vol.
5%
125-129
$657 Vol.
<1%
130+
$1,052 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) as a result of this election.
Seats will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the Swedish Social Democratic Party, officially registered as Arbetarepartiet-Socialdemokraterna (S). Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If S formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling shows the Social Democrats slipping to the 27-30% range in September surveys, down from stronger mid-year figures, amid a narrowing bloc gap as the right-wing Tidö parties close in ahead of the September 13 election. Latest Novus and other readings indicate the Liberals nearing or clearing the 4% threshold, which could bolster right-bloc seat math and limit opposition gains. Voter shifts toward the Centre and Left parties have also contributed to the Social Democrats' softer numbers, with overall left-bloc support now hovering near or just above 50% in several trackers. These late-campaign trends explain trader emphasis on outcomes below 110 seats.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) as a result of this election.
Seats will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the Swedish Social Democratic Party, officially registered as Arbetarepartiet-Socialdemokraterna (S). Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If S formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) as a result of this election.
Seats will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the Swedish Social Democratic Party, officially registered as Arbetarepartiet-Socialdemokraterna (S). Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If S formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Market Opened: Aug 10, 2026, 8:09 PM ET
Volume
$27,053End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 8:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) as a result of this election.
Seats will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the Swedish Social Democratic Party, officially registered as Arbetarepartiet-Socialdemokraterna (S). Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If S formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling shows the Social Democrats slipping to the 27-30% range in September surveys, down from stronger mid-year figures, amid a narrowing bloc gap as the right-wing Tidö parties close in ahead of the September 13 election. Latest Novus and other readings indicate the Liberals nearing or clearing the 4% threshold, which could bolster right-bloc seat math and limit opposition gains. Voter shifts toward the Centre and Left parties have also contributed to the Social Democrats' softer numbers, with overall left-bloc support now hovering near or just above 50% in several trackers. These late-campaign trends explain trader emphasis on outcomes below 110 seats.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) as a result of this election.
Seats will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the Swedish Social Democratic Party, officially registered as Arbetarepartiet-Socialdemokraterna (S). Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If S formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) as a result of this election.
Seats will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the Swedish Social Democratic Party, officially registered as Arbetarepartiet-Socialdemokraterna (S). Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If S formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$27,053End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 8:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows the Social Democrats slipping to the 27-30% range in September surveys, down from stronger mid-year figures, amid a narrowing bloc gap as the right-wing Tidö parties close in ahead of the September 13 election. Latest Novus and other readings indicate the Liberals nearing or clearing the 4% threshold, which could bolster right-bloc seat math and limit opposition gains. Voter shifts toward the Centre and Left parties have also contributed to the Social Democrats' softer numbers, with overall left-bloc support now hovering near or just above 50% in several trackers. These late-campaign trends explain trader emphasis on outcomes below 110 seats.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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