Recent Swedish opinion polls ahead of the September 13 parliamentary election show Vänsterpartiet maintaining a modest but consistent edge over Miljöpartiet, with V averaging near 7.7% support and MP near 7.4% across multiple houses. V has recorded statistically significant gains since the 2022 election, including net transfers from Socialdemokraterna in Statistics Sweden data, while MP gains have been smaller and more variable. These trends, reflected in aggregates from Novus, Demoskop, and Indikator Opinion through late August, underpin trader consensus on V receiving more votes. The race remains sensitive to final turnout among left-leaning voters and any late shifts in the closely contested red-green bloc.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedV
75% chance
NEW
NEW
Sep 12, 2026
V
75% chance
NEW
NEW
Sep 12, 2026
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Green Party (MP) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish opinion polls ahead of the September 13 parliamentary election show Vänsterpartiet maintaining a modest but consistent edge over Miljöpartiet, with V averaging near 7.7% support and MP near 7.4% across multiple houses. V has recorded statistically significant gains since the 2022 election, including net transfers from Socialdemokraterna in Statistics Sweden data, while MP gains have been smaller and more variable. These trends, reflected in aggregates from Novus, Demoskop, and Indikator Opinion through late August, underpin trader consensus on V receiving more votes. The race remains sensitive to final turnout among left-leaning voters and any late shifts in the closely contested red-green bloc.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Green Party (MP) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Green Party (MP) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 5:31 AM ET
Volume
$841End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 5:31 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Green Party (MP) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish opinion polls ahead of the September 13 parliamentary election show Vänsterpartiet maintaining a modest but consistent edge over Miljöpartiet, with V averaging near 7.7% support and MP near 7.4% across multiple houses. V has recorded statistically significant gains since the 2022 election, including net transfers from Socialdemokraterna in Statistics Sweden data, while MP gains have been smaller and more variable. These trends, reflected in aggregates from Novus, Demoskop, and Indikator Opinion through late August, underpin trader consensus on V receiving more votes. The race remains sensitive to final turnout among left-leaning voters and any late shifts in the closely contested red-green bloc.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Green Party (MP) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Green Party (MP) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$841End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 5:31 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Swedish opinion polls ahead of the September 13 parliamentary election show Vänsterpartiet maintaining a modest but consistent edge over Miljöpartiet, with V averaging near 7.7% support and MP near 7.4% across multiple houses. V has recorded statistically significant gains since the 2022 election, including net transfers from Socialdemokraterna in Statistics Sweden data, while MP gains have been smaller and more variable. These trends, reflected in aggregates from Novus, Demoskop, and Indikator Opinion through late August, underpin trader consensus on V receiving more votes. The race remains sensitive to final turnout among left-leaning voters and any late shifts in the closely contested red-green bloc.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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