Recent polling aggregates ahead of Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election show the Centre Party (C) holding a steady edge over the Christian Democrats (KD), with C averaging roughly 7.5–7.7% and KD around 6.5–6.6% across dozens of surveys. This gap has persisted through the campaign despite overall bloc tightening, as C benefits from stronger centrist and rural voter consolidation while KD’s support remains more limited amid competition within the right-leaning Tidö grouping. Late shifts, including modest gains for both parties and the Liberals clearing the 4% threshold, have not altered C’s relative position in the final weeks. Trader pricing therefore reflects the consistent polling differential rather than any single recent event.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedC
55% chance
NEW
NEW
Sep 12, 2026
C
55% chance
NEW
NEW
Sep 12, 2026
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “C” if Centre Party (C) wins more valid votes than Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “KD” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins more valid votes than Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Centre Party (C) and Christian Democrats (KD) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling aggregates ahead of Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election show the Centre Party (C) holding a steady edge over the Christian Democrats (KD), with C averaging roughly 7.5–7.7% and KD around 6.5–6.6% across dozens of surveys. This gap has persisted through the campaign despite overall bloc tightening, as C benefits from stronger centrist and rural voter consolidation while KD’s support remains more limited amid competition within the right-leaning Tidö grouping. Late shifts, including modest gains for both parties and the Liberals clearing the 4% threshold, have not altered C’s relative position in the final weeks. Trader pricing therefore reflects the consistent polling differential rather than any single recent event.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “C” if Centre Party (C) wins more valid votes than Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “KD” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins more valid votes than Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Centre Party (C) and Christian Democrats (KD) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve to “C” if Centre Party (C) wins more valid votes than Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “KD” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins more valid votes than Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Centre Party (C) and Christian Democrats (KD) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 5:35 AM ET
Volume
$194End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 5:35 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “C” if Centre Party (C) wins more valid votes than Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “KD” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins more valid votes than Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Centre Party (C) and Christian Democrats (KD) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling aggregates ahead of Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election show the Centre Party (C) holding a steady edge over the Christian Democrats (KD), with C averaging roughly 7.5–7.7% and KD around 6.5–6.6% across dozens of surveys. This gap has persisted through the campaign despite overall bloc tightening, as C benefits from stronger centrist and rural voter consolidation while KD’s support remains more limited amid competition within the right-leaning Tidö grouping. Late shifts, including modest gains for both parties and the Liberals clearing the 4% threshold, have not altered C’s relative position in the final weeks. Trader pricing therefore reflects the consistent polling differential rather than any single recent event.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “C” if Centre Party (C) wins more valid votes than Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “KD” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins more valid votes than Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Centre Party (C) and Christian Democrats (KD) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve to “C” if Centre Party (C) wins more valid votes than Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “KD” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins more valid votes than Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Centre Party (C) and Christian Democrats (KD) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$194End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 5:35 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polling aggregates ahead of Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election show the Centre Party (C) holding a steady edge over the Christian Democrats (KD), with C averaging roughly 7.5–7.7% and KD around 6.5–6.6% across dozens of surveys. This gap has persisted through the campaign despite overall bloc tightening, as C benefits from stronger centrist and rural voter consolidation while KD’s support remains more limited amid competition within the right-leaning Tidö grouping. Late shifts, including modest gains for both parties and the Liberals clearing the 4% threshold, have not altered C’s relative position in the final weeks. Trader pricing therefore reflects the consistent polling differential rather than any single recent event.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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