Recent statements from Justice Samuel Alito confirming his intent to remain on the Supreme Court through at least the end of the current term in mid-2027 have reinforced expectations against a vacancy in 2026. Alito, age 76, explicitly addressed speculation tied to the November midterms, indicating no plans to step down even if Senate control shifts. Clarence Thomas, age 78, has shown no retirement signals, while the remaining seven justices range from their mid-50s to early 70s with no reported health or departure developments. Senate Republicans have signaled readiness to confirm any unexpected opening before January, yet the absence of announcements or procedural indicators keeps the probability of a vacancy low in trader assessments.