SpaceX's record $75 billion IPO priced at $135 per share and debuted on Nasdaq today under ticker SPCX, with shares opening at $150 and closing near $161. Traders assign 100% implied probability against Elon Musk ringing the bell because the company staged dual ceremonial events, with Musk delivering remarks and launching trading remotely from Starbase, Texas, rather than appearing in person at the exchange. This approach aligns with prior Musk-led listings and reflects operational realities around the firm's Texas headquarters. No credible last-minute shifts, regulatory hurdles, or technical delays have emerged to alter the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$141,833 Vol.
$141,833 Vol.
Jun 13, 2026
$141,833 Vol.
$141,833 Vol.
Jun 13, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Elon Musk rings the bell at a bell ceremony on SpaceX’s first day of trading. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If no SpaceX IPO or qualifying bell ceremony occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
Bell-ringing ceremonies which take place outside of SpaceX's first day of trading will not be considered.
Qualifying Requirements:
- Elon Musk must be physically present at the ceremony.
- The ceremony must be at the venue of SpaceX's primary exchange.
- The purpose of the ceremony must be to commemorate the opening or closing of the regular trading session of SpaceX’s primary exchange on SpaceX's first day of trading.
- Elon Musk must singularly or jointly participate in ringing or activating the physical or digital bell of the primary exchange through touch or force.
Non-qualifying examples:
- Elon Musk rings a bell at a private SpaceX ceremony.
- Elon Musk tells someone else to ring the bell on his behalf.
- Elon Musk issues a voice command to any device that it should play a ringing sound.
- Elon Musk presses play on a ringing sound effect from his phone.
- Elon Musk appears virtually at the bell ringing ceremony.
- Elon Musk rings the bell from a location other than the primary exchange's physical venue.
The resolution source will be photos or videos.SpaceX's record $75 billion IPO priced at $135 per share and debuted on Nasdaq today under ticker SPCX, with shares opening at $150 and closing near $161. Traders assign 100% implied probability against Elon Musk ringing the bell because the company staged dual ceremonial events, with Musk delivering remarks and launching trading remotely from Starbase, Texas, rather than appearing in person at the exchange. This approach aligns with prior Musk-led listings and reflects operational realities around the firm's Texas headquarters. No credible last-minute shifts, regulatory hurdles, or technical delays have emerged to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Elon Musk rings the bell at a bell ceremony on SpaceX’s first day of trading. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If no SpaceX IPO or qualifying bell ceremony occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
Bell-ringing ceremonies which take place outside of SpaceX's first day of trading will not be considered.
Qualifying Requirements:
- Elon Musk must be physically present at the ceremony.
- The ceremony must be at the venue of SpaceX's primary exchange.
- The purpose of the ceremony must be to commemorate the opening or closing of the regular trading session of SpaceX’s primary exchange on SpaceX's first day of trading.
- Elon Musk must singularly or jointly participate in ringing or activating the physical or digital bell of the primary exchange through touch or force.
Non-qualifying examples:
- Elon Musk rings a bell at a private SpaceX ceremony.
- Elon Musk tells someone else to ring the bell on his behalf.
- Elon Musk issues a voice command to any device that it should play a ringing sound.
- Elon Musk presses play on a ringing sound effect from his phone.
- Elon Musk appears virtually at the bell ringing ceremony.
- Elon Musk rings the bell from a location other than the primary exchange's physical venue.
The resolution source will be photos or videos.
If no SpaceX IPO or qualifying bell ceremony occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
Bell-ringing ceremonies which take place outside of SpaceX's first day of trading will not be considered.
Qualifying Requirements:
- Elon Musk must be physically present at the ceremony.
- The ceremony must be at the venue of SpaceX's primary exchange.
- The purpose of the ceremony must be to commemorate the opening or closing of the regular trading session of SpaceX’s primary exchange on SpaceX's first day of trading.
- Elon Musk must singularly or jointly participate in ringing or activating the physical or digital bell of the primary exchange through touch or force.
Non-qualifying examples:
- Elon Musk rings a bell at a private SpaceX ceremony.
- Elon Musk tells someone else to ring the bell on his behalf.
- Elon Musk issues a voice command to any device that it should play a ringing sound.
- Elon Musk presses play on a ringing sound effect from his phone.
- Elon Musk appears virtually at the bell ringing ceremony.
- Elon Musk rings the bell from a location other than the primary exchange's physical venue.
The resolution source will be photos or videos.
Market Opened: Jun 9, 2026, 1:45 AM ET
Volume
$141,833End Date
Jun 13, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 1:45 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Elon Musk rings the bell at a bell ceremony on SpaceX’s first day of trading. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If no SpaceX IPO or qualifying bell ceremony occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
Bell-ringing ceremonies which take place outside of SpaceX's first day of trading will not be considered.
Qualifying Requirements:
- Elon Musk must be physically present at the ceremony.
- The ceremony must be at the venue of SpaceX's primary exchange.
- The purpose of the ceremony must be to commemorate the opening or closing of the regular trading session of SpaceX’s primary exchange on SpaceX's first day of trading.
- Elon Musk must singularly or jointly participate in ringing or activating the physical or digital bell of the primary exchange through touch or force.
Non-qualifying examples:
- Elon Musk rings a bell at a private SpaceX ceremony.
- Elon Musk tells someone else to ring the bell on his behalf.
- Elon Musk issues a voice command to any device that it should play a ringing sound.
- Elon Musk presses play on a ringing sound effect from his phone.
- Elon Musk appears virtually at the bell ringing ceremony.
- Elon Musk rings the bell from a location other than the primary exchange's physical venue.
The resolution source will be photos or videos.SpaceX's record $75 billion IPO priced at $135 per share and debuted on Nasdaq today under ticker SPCX, with shares opening at $150 and closing near $161. Traders assign 100% implied probability against Elon Musk ringing the bell because the company staged dual ceremonial events, with Musk delivering remarks and launching trading remotely from Starbase, Texas, rather than appearing in person at the exchange. This approach aligns with prior Musk-led listings and reflects operational realities around the firm's Texas headquarters. No credible last-minute shifts, regulatory hurdles, or technical delays have emerged to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Elon Musk rings the bell at a bell ceremony on SpaceX’s first day of trading. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If no SpaceX IPO or qualifying bell ceremony occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
Bell-ringing ceremonies which take place outside of SpaceX's first day of trading will not be considered.
Qualifying Requirements:
- Elon Musk must be physically present at the ceremony.
- The ceremony must be at the venue of SpaceX's primary exchange.
- The purpose of the ceremony must be to commemorate the opening or closing of the regular trading session of SpaceX’s primary exchange on SpaceX's first day of trading.
- Elon Musk must singularly or jointly participate in ringing or activating the physical or digital bell of the primary exchange through touch or force.
Non-qualifying examples:
- Elon Musk rings a bell at a private SpaceX ceremony.
- Elon Musk tells someone else to ring the bell on his behalf.
- Elon Musk issues a voice command to any device that it should play a ringing sound.
- Elon Musk presses play on a ringing sound effect from his phone.
- Elon Musk appears virtually at the bell ringing ceremony.
- Elon Musk rings the bell from a location other than the primary exchange's physical venue.
The resolution source will be photos or videos.
If no SpaceX IPO or qualifying bell ceremony occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
Bell-ringing ceremonies which take place outside of SpaceX's first day of trading will not be considered.
Qualifying Requirements:
- Elon Musk must be physically present at the ceremony.
- The ceremony must be at the venue of SpaceX's primary exchange.
- The purpose of the ceremony must be to commemorate the opening or closing of the regular trading session of SpaceX’s primary exchange on SpaceX's first day of trading.
- Elon Musk must singularly or jointly participate in ringing or activating the physical or digital bell of the primary exchange through touch or force.
Non-qualifying examples:
- Elon Musk rings a bell at a private SpaceX ceremony.
- Elon Musk tells someone else to ring the bell on his behalf.
- Elon Musk issues a voice command to any device that it should play a ringing sound.
- Elon Musk presses play on a ringing sound effect from his phone.
- Elon Musk appears virtually at the bell ringing ceremony.
- Elon Musk rings the bell from a location other than the primary exchange's physical venue.
The resolution source will be photos or videos.
Volume
$141,833End Date
Jun 13, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 1:45 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
SpaceX's record $75 billion IPO priced at $135 per share and debuted on Nasdaq today under ticker SPCX, with shares opening at $150 and closing near $161. Traders assign 100% implied probability against Elon Musk ringing the bell because the company staged dual ceremonial events, with Musk delivering remarks and launching trading remotely from Starbase, Texas, rather than appearing in person at the exchange. This approach aligns with prior Musk-led listings and reflects operational realities around the firm's Texas headquarters. No credible last-minute shifts, regulatory hurdles, or technical delays have emerged to alter the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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