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icon for SpaceX IPO: Opening Share Price

SpaceX IPO: Opening Share Price

icon for SpaceX IPO: Opening Share Price

SpaceX IPO: Opening Share Price

$150-$200 100.0%

$200-$250 <1%

<$100 <1%

$100-$150 <1%

Polymarket

$554,957 Vol.

$150-$200 100.0%

$200-$250 <1%

<$100 <1%

$100-$150 <1%

Polymarket

$554,957 Vol.

<$100

$72,289 Vol.

No

$100-$150

$97,243 Vol.

No

$150-$200

$139,447 Vol.

Yes

$200-$250

$134,181 Vol.

No

$250+

$108,946 Vol.

No

No IPO before 2028

$2,851 Vol.

No

This market will resolve based on SpaceX's opening share price on its first day of trading. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". The opening share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. If no official opening price for SpaceX’s first day of trading is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official opening price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's record $75 billion IPO priced at $135 per share, reflecting strong trader confidence in its opening range of $150–$200 amid surging demand for the rocket and satellite leader. Recent Starship test flights and Starlink constellation expansions have validated reusable launch technologies and orbital deployment capabilities, driving valuation toward $1.77 trillion alongside the xAI merger. Official NASA and FAA data on launch cadence and payload success rates underpin this positioning. A sudden regulatory delay on next-generation vehicles or unexpected technical setbacks in orbital refueling demonstrations could shift sentiment, though model consensus on operational milestones remains robust.

This market will resolve based on SpaceX's opening share price on its first day of trading.

If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".

The opening share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

If no official opening price for SpaceX’s first day of trading is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official opening price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$554,957
End Date
Jun 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's opening share price on its first day of trading. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". The opening share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. If no official opening price for SpaceX’s first day of trading is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official opening price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve based on SpaceX's opening share price on its first day of trading. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". The opening share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. If no official opening price for SpaceX’s first day of trading is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official opening price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's record $75 billion IPO priced at $135 per share, reflecting strong trader confidence in its opening range of $150–$200 amid surging demand for the rocket and satellite leader. Recent Starship test flights and Starlink constellation expansions have validated reusable launch technologies and orbital deployment capabilities, driving valuation toward $1.77 trillion alongside the xAI merger. Official NASA and FAA data on launch cadence and payload success rates underpin this positioning. A sudden regulatory delay on next-generation vehicles or unexpected technical setbacks in orbital refueling demonstrations could shift sentiment, though model consensus on operational milestones remains robust.

This market will resolve based on SpaceX's opening share price on its first day of trading.

If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".

The opening share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

If no official opening price for SpaceX’s first day of trading is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official opening price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$554,957
End Date
Jun 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's opening share price on its first day of trading. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". The opening share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. If no official opening price for SpaceX’s first day of trading is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official opening price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"SpaceX IPO: Opening Share Price" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "$150-$200" at 100%, followed by "<$100" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "SpaceX IPO: Opening Share Price" has generated $555K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 10, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "SpaceX IPO: Opening Share Price," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "SpaceX IPO: Opening Share Price" is "$150-$200" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<$100" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "SpaceX IPO: Opening Share Price" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.