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icon for SpaceX IPO: First Day Share Price Hits __?

SpaceX IPO: First Day Share Price Hits __?

icon for SpaceX IPO: First Day Share Price Hits __?

SpaceX IPO: First Day Share Price Hits __?

$200,653 Vol.

Jun 13, 2026
Polymarket

$200,653 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for ↑$300

↑$300

$118,023 Vol.

No

icon for ↑$250

↑$250

$17,077 Vol.

No

icon for ↑$200

↑$200

$33,331 Vol.

No

icon for ↑$195

↑$195

$531 Vol.

No

icon for ↑$190

↑$190

$573 Vol.

No

icon for ↑$185

↑$185

$517 Vol.

No

icon for ↑$180

↑$180

$773 Vol.

No

icon for ↑$150

↑$150

$29,830 Vol.

Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if SpaceX's official “High” price on its first day of trading is greater than or equal to the listed price. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. The “High” share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), this market will resolve according to the official “High” price of the abbreviated session. If no such official “High” price is published for the first day of trading, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official “High” price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.SpaceX's record IPO, priced at $135 per share with trading beginning June 12 under ticker SPCX, has generated intense trader focus on first-day performance amid expectations of the largest listing in history. The company raised roughly $75 billion at a ~$1.75 trillion valuation, fueled by Starlink's satellite internet growth, reusable rocket leadership, and new initiatives like orbital AI data centers in partnership with Tesla. Strong retail and institutional demand, including dual-class shares preserving Musk's control, drove early trading to open near $150 and close around $161. Key swing factors include post-IPO index inclusion momentum, execution on ambitious expansion plans versus profitability concerns, and broader tech sentiment, with any immediate volatility likely tied to volume exceeding 500 million shares on debut.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if SpaceX's official “High” price on its first day of trading is greater than or equal to the listed price. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.

The “High” share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), this market will resolve according to the official “High” price of the abbreviated session. If no such official “High” price is published for the first day of trading, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official “High” price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Volume
$200,653
End Date
Jun 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 1:46 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if SpaceX's official “High” price on its first day of trading is greater than or equal to the listed price. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. The “High” share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), this market will resolve according to the official “High” price of the abbreviated session. If no such official “High” price is published for the first day of trading, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official “High” price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if SpaceX's official “High” price on its first day of trading is greater than or equal to the listed price. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. The “High” share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), this market will resolve according to the official “High” price of the abbreviated session. If no such official “High” price is published for the first day of trading, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official “High” price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.SpaceX's record IPO, priced at $135 per share with trading beginning June 12 under ticker SPCX, has generated intense trader focus on first-day performance amid expectations of the largest listing in history. The company raised roughly $75 billion at a ~$1.75 trillion valuation, fueled by Starlink's satellite internet growth, reusable rocket leadership, and new initiatives like orbital AI data centers in partnership with Tesla. Strong retail and institutional demand, including dual-class shares preserving Musk's control, drove early trading to open near $150 and close around $161. Key swing factors include post-IPO index inclusion momentum, execution on ambitious expansion plans versus profitability concerns, and broader tech sentiment, with any immediate volatility likely tied to volume exceeding 500 million shares on debut.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if SpaceX's official “High” price on its first day of trading is greater than or equal to the listed price. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.

The “High” share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), this market will resolve according to the official “High” price of the abbreviated session. If no such official “High” price is published for the first day of trading, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official “High” price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Volume
$200,653
End Date
Jun 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 1:46 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if SpaceX's official “High” price on its first day of trading is greater than or equal to the listed price. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. The “High” share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), this market will resolve according to the official “High” price of the abbreviated session. If no such official “High” price is published for the first day of trading, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official “High” price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Related

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Frequently Asked Questions

"SpaceX IPO: First Day Share Price Hits __?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "↑$150" at 100%, followed by "↑$300" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "SpaceX IPO: First Day Share Price Hits __?" has generated $200.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "SpaceX IPO: First Day Share Price Hits __?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "SpaceX IPO: First Day Share Price Hits __?" is "↑$150" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "↑$300" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "SpaceX IPO: First Day Share Price Hits __?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.