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icon for SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
Climate & Science·Big Tech

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

icon for SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
Climate & Science·Big Tech

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

Polymarket

$20,139,301 Vol.

Polymarket

$20,139,301 Vol.

>$4T

$946,215 Vol.

No

>$3.8T

$288,808 Vol.

No

>$3.6T

$212,675 Vol.

No

>$3.4T

$286,212 Vol.

No

>$3.2T

$557,754 Vol.

No

>$3T

$2,517,450 Vol.

No

>$2.8T

$797,678 Vol.

No

>$2.6T

$1,240,221 Vol.

No

>$2.4T

$1,868,439 Vol.

No

>$2.2T

$2,325,564 Vol.

No

>$2T

$3,286,145 Vol.

Yes

>$1.8T

$2,142,061 Vol.

Yes

>$1.6T

$1,100,152 Vol.

Yes

>$1.4T

$705,594 Vol.

Yes

>$1.2T

$746,479 Vol.

Yes

>$1T

$1,117,855 Vol.

Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.SpaceX priced its record IPO at $135 per share on June 2, targeting a roughly $1.75 trillion valuation and raising about $75 billion in the largest offering ever. Shares debuted on Nasdaq under ticker SPCX on June 12 and surged nearly 19% to close near $161, pushing market cap above $2 trillion on debut and making Elon Musk the first trillionaire. Traders are focused on Starlink’s broadband and direct-to-device momentum, planned space-based AI data centers, and Starship flight cadence as primary growth drivers, alongside historical parallels to other mega-tech listings where post-IPO volatility often hinges on execution milestones in the first earnings cycle.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Volume
$20,139,301
End Date
Dec 31, 2027
Market Opened
May 19, 2026, 8:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.SpaceX priced its record IPO at $135 per share on June 2, targeting a roughly $1.75 trillion valuation and raising about $75 billion in the largest offering ever. Shares debuted on Nasdaq under ticker SPCX on June 12 and surged nearly 19% to close near $161, pushing market cap above $2 trillion on debut and making Elon Musk the first trillionaire. Traders are focused on Starlink’s broadband and direct-to-device momentum, planned space-based AI data centers, and Starship flight cadence as primary growth drivers, alongside historical parallels to other mega-tech listings where post-IPO volatility often hinges on execution milestones in the first earnings cycle.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Volume
$20,139,301
End Date
Dec 31, 2027
Market Opened
May 19, 2026, 8:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is ">$2T" at 100%, followed by ">$1.8T" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?" has generated $20.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?" is ">$2T" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is ">$1.8T" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.