Ralph Norman secured a commanding lead for second place in South Carolina’s August 11 special Republican primary due to his established congressional record, Freedom Caucus leadership, and strong performance across Upstate counties that outpaced rivals including Russell Fry. Name recognition from his House tenure, targeted conservative messaging on America First priorities, and regional fundraising advantages helped consolidate support in a crowded field of ten candidates. Darline Graham led overall with broader statewide backing. Official certification or minor vote adjustments remain the only realistic variables that could alter the second-place outcome before the August 25 runoff.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRalph Norman 100.0%
Duke Buckner <1%
Russell Fry <1%
Darline Graham Nordone <1%
$97,325 Vol.
$97,325 Vol.
Aug 11, 2026
Duke Buckner
No
Russell Fry
No
Darline Graham Nordone
No
Mark Lynch
No
Ralph Norman
Yes
Mark Sanford
No
Sheri Biggs
No
Pamela Evette
No
Trey Gowdy
No
Henry McMaster
No
Ralph Norman 100.0%
Duke Buckner <1%
Russell Fry <1%
Darline Graham Nordone <1%
$97,325 Vol.
$97,325 Vol.
Aug 11, 2026
Duke Buckner
$1,067 Vol.
No
Russell Fry
$14,858 Vol.
No
Darline Graham Nordone
$13,429 Vol.
No
Mark Lynch
$5,228 Vol.
No
Ralph Norman
$57,026 Vol.
Yes
Mark Sanford
$2,690 Vol.
No
Sheri Biggs
$830 Vol.
No
Pamela Evette
$701 Vol.
No
Trey Gowdy
$713 Vol.
No
Henry McMaster
$784 Vol.
No
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Ralph Norman secured a commanding lead for second place in South Carolina’s August 11 special Republican primary due to his established congressional record, Freedom Caucus leadership, and strong performance across Upstate counties that outpaced rivals including Russell Fry. Name recognition from his House tenure, targeted conservative messaging on America First priorities, and regional fundraising advantages helped consolidate support in a crowded field of ten candidates. Darline Graham led overall with broader statewide backing. Official certification or minor vote adjustments remain the only realistic variables that could alter the second-place outcome before the August 25 runoff.
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 3:53 PM ET
Volume
$97,325End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 3:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Ralph Norman secured a commanding lead for second place in South Carolina’s August 11 special Republican primary due to his established congressional record, Freedom Caucus leadership, and strong performance across Upstate counties that outpaced rivals including Russell Fry. Name recognition from his House tenure, targeted conservative messaging on America First priorities, and regional fundraising advantages helped consolidate support in a crowded field of ten candidates. Darline Graham led overall with broader statewide backing. Official certification or minor vote adjustments remain the only realistic variables that could alter the second-place outcome before the August 25 runoff.
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$97,325End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 3:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Ralph Norman secured a commanding lead for second place in South Carolina’s August 11 special Republican primary due to his established congressional record, Freedom Caucus leadership, and strong performance across Upstate counties that outpaced rivals including Russell Fry. Name recognition from his House tenure, targeted conservative messaging on America First priorities, and regional fundraising advantages helped consolidate support in a crowded field of ten candidates. Darline Graham led overall with broader statewide backing. Official certification or minor vote adjustments remain the only realistic variables that could alter the second-place outcome before the August 25 runoff.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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