This market will resolve to "Yes" if SMER (Smer – sociálna demokracia, Direction – Social Democracy) controls a greater number of seats in the National Council than any other party after the results of the 2023 Slovakian parliamentary election are finalized. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the results of this election aren't known by March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity official information from the Slovakian government and/or information published through the official website of Slovakia's Ministry of the Interior (https://www.minv.sk/?ministry-of-interior) will be used.


Will SMER win a plurality?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Progresívne Slovensko (Progressive Slovakia) gets over 18% of votes for the National Council in the 2023 Slovak parliamentary elections scheduled for September 30. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the results of this election aren't known by March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity official information from the Slovakian government and/or information published through the official website of Slovakia's Ministry of the Interior (https://www.minv.sk/?ministry-of-interior) will be used.

Will PS win over 18% of votes?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hlas (Hlas – sociálna demokracia, Voice – Social Democracy) gets over 10% of votes for the National Council in the 2023 Slovak parliamentary elections scheduled for September 30. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the results of this election aren't known by March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity official information from the Slovakian government and/or information published through the official website of Slovakia's Ministry of the Interior (https://www.minv.sk/?ministry-of-interior) will be used.