Inter Milan’s position as defending champions, combined with an unbeaten start to the 2026/27 campaign that includes a 3-0 win over Parma, underpins their 61.5% implied probability in the Serie A title market. The Nerazzurri sit joint-top after six matches, maintaining strong form despite an international break and key absences like Lautaro Martínez. Roma, priced at 15%, remain the clearest challenger under Gian Piero Gasperini but trail by two points after a 0-0 draw at Como and a red card. Juventus, AC Milan, and Como have each dropped points in recent fixtures, widening the gap in trader assessments, while Lazio’s impressive early results have not shifted long-term probabilities materially. These patterns reflect the market’s emphasis on sustained squad depth and historical title pedigree over short-term table positions.