Scary Movie’s projected second-weekend haul of $14–15 million reflects a steep 71–73% drop from its franchise-best $55 million opening, driven by dismal critical reception (24% on Rotten Tomatoes) and middling audience scores including a C+ CinemaScore. Weak word-of-mouth for the R-rated horror parody has limited holdover appeal despite strong brand recognition and a modest $30 million budget that already ensures profitability. Traders have priced in this typical post-opening correction for comedies lacking broad repeat viewership, with final numbers hinging on whether actual weekend tracking holds or shifts slightly due to holiday-adjacent timing or competition adjustments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Scary Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office
"Scary Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office
14-15m 99.6%
<14m <1%
15-16m <1%
16-17m <1%
$40,526 Vol.
$40,526 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
<14m
No
14-15m
Yes
15-16m
No
16-17m
No
>17m
No
14-15m 99.6%
<14m <1%
15-16m <1%
16-17m <1%
$40,526 Vol.
$40,526 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
<14m
$7,538 Vol.
No
14-15m
$10,439 Vol.
Yes
15-16m
$2,892 Vol.
No
16-17m
$3,205 Vol.
No
>17m
$16,452 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to how much "Scary Movie" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (June 12 - June 14) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Scary Movie’s projected second-weekend haul of $14–15 million reflects a steep 71–73% drop from its franchise-best $55 million opening, driven by dismal critical reception (24% on Rotten Tomatoes) and middling audience scores including a C+ CinemaScore. Weak word-of-mouth for the R-rated horror parody has limited holdover appeal despite strong brand recognition and a modest $30 million budget that already ensures profitability. Traders have priced in this typical post-opening correction for comedies lacking broad repeat viewership, with final numbers hinging on whether actual weekend tracking holds or shifts slightly due to holiday-adjacent timing or competition adjustments.
This market will resolve according to how much "Scary Movie" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (June 12 - June 14) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Jun 10, 2026, 1:59 PM ET
Volume
$40,526End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 1:59 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve according to how much "Scary Movie" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (June 12 - June 14) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Scary Movie’s projected second-weekend haul of $14–15 million reflects a steep 71–73% drop from its franchise-best $55 million opening, driven by dismal critical reception (24% on Rotten Tomatoes) and middling audience scores including a C+ CinemaScore. Weak word-of-mouth for the R-rated horror parody has limited holdover appeal despite strong brand recognition and a modest $30 million budget that already ensures profitability. Traders have priced in this typical post-opening correction for comedies lacking broad repeat viewership, with final numbers hinging on whether actual weekend tracking holds or shifts slightly due to holiday-adjacent timing or competition adjustments.
This market will resolve according to how much "Scary Movie" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (June 12 - June 14) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$40,526End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 1:59 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Scary Movie’s projected second-weekend haul of $14–15 million reflects a steep 71–73% drop from its franchise-best $55 million opening, driven by dismal critical reception (24% on Rotten Tomatoes) and middling audience scores including a C+ CinemaScore. Weak word-of-mouth for the R-rated horror parody has limited holdover appeal despite strong brand recognition and a modest $30 million budget that already ensures profitability. Traders have priced in this typical post-opening correction for comedies lacking broad repeat viewership, with final numbers hinging on whether actual weekend tracking holds or shifts slightly due to holiday-adjacent timing or competition adjustments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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